BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2023 50 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +24.4 +9.8 +14.6
2 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +15.7 +10.4 +5.3
3 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +13.7 +9.6 +4.1
4 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +13.6 +3.9 +9.7
5 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +11.7 +4.6 +7.1
6 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +9.0 +4.9 +4.1
7 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association +8.8 +2.5 +6.3
8 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +8.3 +8.5 -0.1
9 Harvard FCS Ivy League +7.9 +4.7 +3.2
10 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.5 -1.4 +8.9
11 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.0 +7.0 +0.0
12 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +6.8 -2.3 +9.1
13 Furman FCS Southern Conference +5.8 +0.6 +5.2
14 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +5.7 +0.0 +5.6
15 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.3 +1.8 +3.5
16 Yale FCS Ivy League +5.3 +3.4 +1.9
17 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +5.0 +1.4 +3.7
18 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +4.8 +3.7 +1.1
19 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +4.6 +8.0 -3.4
20 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference +4.1 +3.5 +0.6
21 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +4.0 +3.8 +0.3
22 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +3.9 +4.6 -0.7
23 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.9 +4.4 -0.5
24 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +3.7 +2.5 +1.2
25 Lafayette FCS Patriot League +3.4 +1.4 +2.0
26 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +3.1 -0.0 +3.1
27 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +3.0 +1.4 +1.6
28 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +3.0 -0.9 +3.9
29 Princeton FCS Ivy League +2.6 -4.9 +7.5
30 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.4 +0.6 +1.8
31 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League +2.4 -2.3 +4.7
32 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +2.2 -3.3 +5.6
33 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League +2.2 -0.5 +2.7
34 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +2.1 -1.6 +3.8
35 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference +1.4 +7.6 -6.2
36 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +0.8 +0.4 +0.4
37 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.3 -5.4 +5.8
38 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +0.1 +6.7 -6.7
39 Samford FCS Southern Conference +0.0 +0.8 -0.7
40 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.0 +2.2 -2.2
41 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -0.1 +1.0 -1.1
42 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.1 -2.9 +2.8
43 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -0.2 +2.6 -2.9
44 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.4 +0.7 -1.1
45 Richmond FCS Patriot League -0.8 -0.7 -0.1
46 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -0.9 +1.6 -2.5
47 Fordham FCS Patriot League -1.0 +1.6 -2.7
48 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.2 +2.9 -4.1
49 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -1.2 +4.0 -5.2
50 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -1.3 +0.8 -2.1

SRS — season 2023 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +29.3 +16.2 -21.9
2 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.5 +15.6 -9.1
3 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +18.0 +7.0 -13.2
4 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +17.2 +13.9 -8.7
5 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +14.4 +6.3 -9.1
6 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +13.0 +8.0 -7.2
7 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +11.4 +1.1 -13.3
8 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association +11.4 +3.0 -7.3
9 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +11.1 +2.0 -14.0
10 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.4 +10.6 -2.1
11 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +9.2 +9.4 +0.0
12 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +8.1 +5.5 -5.0
13 Harvard FCS Ivy League +7.9 +5.3 -2.4
14 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.6 +8.1 -2.9
15 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +7.3 +2.0 -7.1
16 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference +6.6 +4.2 -2.7
17 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +6.4 +6.1 -0.7
18 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +6.2 +7.1 -2.6
19 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference +5.9 +5.5 -0.8
20 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.5 +3.1 -5.3
21 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +5.2 -0.6 -5.5
22 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +5.0 +9.4 +4.0
23 Yale FCS Ivy League +4.9 +4.1 -1.0
24 Lafayette FCS Patriot League +4.7 +2.9 -0.7
25 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +4.4 +4.5 -0.9
26 Furman FCS Southern Conference +4.2 -1.1 -3.2
27 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference +4.1 +4.3 -0.7
28 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +3.6 -1.3 -4.5
29 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference +3.0 +6.4 +3.7
30 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +2.0 -4.3 -4.6
31 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +1.8 +7.1 +4.9
32 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference +1.7 +2.9 +1.9
33 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League +1.6 -1.6 -1.2
34 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +1.0 -0.6 +1.7
35 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +1.0 -3.9 +0.3
36 Princeton FCS Ivy League +0.5 -7.6 -6.2
37 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference +0.2 +8.2 +7.6
38 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.6 +0.4 +1.9
39 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -0.8 -6.5 +1.3
40 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.8 +3.5 +2.9
41 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.9 +1.8 +3.5
42 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -1.1 +1.9 +3.8
43 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.2 -8.3 -5.3
44 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference -1.3 -3.0 +0.7
45 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -1.3 -1.6 +0.8
46 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.4 -3.5 -1.9
47 Fordham FCS Patriot League -1.7 -0.7 +2.1
48 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference -2.0 +4.0 +7.1
49 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference -2.0 -3.5 -0.7
50 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -2.1 -0.0 +3.1

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 North Dakota State FCS 1858
2 Montana State FCS 1823
3 Tarleton State FCS 1726
4 Villanova FCS 1724
5 Montana FCS 1719
6 Lehigh FCS 1707
7 South Dakota FCS 1705
8 Yale FCS 1686
9 UC Davis FCS 1683
10 Harvard FCS 1670
11 Stephen F. Austin FCS 1661
12 Illinois State FCS 1661
13 Jackson State FCS 1661
14 Alabama State FCS 1659
15 South Dakota State FCS 1649
16 Rhode Island FCS 1645
17 Presbyterian FCS 1629
18 South Carolina State FCS 1617
19 North Dakota FCS 1615
20 Abilene Christian FCS 1607
21 Mercer FCS 1603
22 Tennessee Tech FCS 1602
23 None FCS 1601
24 San Diego FCS 1597
25 Southern Utah FCS 1596

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ isn’t published for 2023 yet — it needs games to have been played. This fills in once the season starts. It is FBS-only.