BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2022 50 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.3 +8.6 +10.7
2 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +14.6 +11.9 +2.7
3 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +13.9 +16.6 -2.7
4 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +13.8 +6.7 +7.1
5 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +12.0 +4.5 +7.5
6 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +11.8 +12.2 -0.4
7 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +11.5 +5.0 +6.5
8 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +10.2 +5.9 +4.3
9 Princeton FCS Ivy League +9.8 +1.0 +8.8
10 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +9.5 +6.8 +2.7
11 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +9.4 +5.7 +3.7
12 Furman FCS Southern Conference +8.7 +3.0 +5.7
13 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +8.1 +6.0 +2.1
14 Richmond FCS Patriot League +8.0 +3.2 +4.7
15 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +7.8 +3.6 +4.2
16 Samford FCS Southern Conference +7.6 +6.0 +1.6
17 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.4 +5.6 +1.9
18 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +7.3 +6.2 +1.1
19 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +6.8 +5.1 +1.6
20 Yale FCS Ivy League +6.6 +2.8 +3.9
21 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +6.3 +0.1 +6.2
22 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +5.4 +5.7 -0.3
23 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +5.4 -0.6 +5.9
24 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference +5.3 +3.7 +1.6
25 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League +5.2 +0.5 +4.7
26 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.1 +2.6 +2.5
27 Harvard FCS Ivy League +4.6 +1.1 +3.4
28 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +3.8 +5.6 -1.8
29 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.6 +5.1 -1.5
30 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.1 +1.9 +1.2
31 Fordham FCS Patriot League +2.9 +15.9 -13.0
32 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference +2.4 -1.3 +3.7
33 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association +2.4 +3.9 -1.5
34 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League +2.2 -1.4 +3.6
35 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.2 +2.5 -0.4
36 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +1.8 -0.6 +2.4
37 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +1.8 +3.2 -1.4
38 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.8 +4.9 -3.1
39 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.2 +1.2 -0.1
40 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.1 +2.8 -1.7
41 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League +1.0 +1.8 -0.8
42 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +0.6 -2.9 +3.5
43 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +0.0 -5.6 +5.7
44 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -0.1 +6.2 -6.3
45 Columbia FCS Ivy League -0.1 -2.6 +2.5
46 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference -0.3 +0.7 -1.1
47 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -1.3 -0.5 -0.8
48 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -1.3 -2.4 +1.1
49 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -1.4 -3.8 +2.4
50 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -1.4 -7.9 +6.5

SRS — season 2022 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +22.7 +11.8 -14.4
2 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +17.5 +15.9 -5.5
3 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +15.7 +10.0 -10.1
4 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +14.8 +7.6 -11.2
5 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +14.2 +20.6 +1.3
6 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +14.1 +16.9 -1.8
7 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +13.8 +10.5 -8.2
8 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +11.1 +9.7 -3.9
9 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +11.0 +6.0 -2.7
10 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +10.6 +5.6 -6.2
11 Furman FCS Southern Conference +10.4 +5.6 -7.8
12 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +10.0 +8.4 -8.2
13 Samford FCS Southern Conference +9.3 +7.7 -4.5
14 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.2 +9.9 -3.8
15 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +8.5 +10.2 -4.8
16 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +8.5 +6.8 -1.7
17 Richmond FCS Patriot League +8.3 +3.6 -4.5
18 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +7.5 +6.2 -2.2
19 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +7.3 +1.8 -7.3
20 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +7.3 -0.8 -6.6
21 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.1 +4.5 -4.7
22 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.8 +8.9 +0.1
23 Princeton FCS Ivy League +4.8 -4.2 -4.7
24 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.8 +1.2 -0.2
25 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +3.7 +6.2 +0.4
26 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +3.5 +4.0 -0.3
27 Yale FCS Ivy League +3.3 -0.1 -1.3
28 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +3.0 +3.6 +3.9
29 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association +2.9 +3.7 +1.2
30 Fordham FCS Patriot League +2.6 +16.4 +16.1
31 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference +2.5 +1.1 +2.7
32 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.7 +5.5 +4.4
33 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +1.6 +2.7 +1.8
34 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +1.4 +0.3 -4.3
35 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.3 +2.3 +3.6
36 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference +1.1 -2.2 -3.0
37 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.1 +0.0 +1.9
38 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference +0.5 +8.2 +7.2
39 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -0.2 -7.8 -8.2
40 Harvard FCS Ivy League -0.6 -3.2 +1.3
41 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference -1.1 -1.2 +2.8
42 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -1.5 -4.6 +0.5
43 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -1.8 -5.1 -4.4
44 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.3 -7.2 +1.8
45 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.5 -3.9 +3.6
46 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.6 -3.5 +3.0
47 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -4.4 -4.4 +1.8
48 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -4.4 -4.2 -0.7
49 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference -4.4 +2.5 +5.5
50 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association -4.4 +3.6 +10.7

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 North Dakota State FCS 1858
2 Montana State FCS 1823
3 Tarleton State FCS 1726
4 Villanova FCS 1724
5 Montana FCS 1719
6 Lehigh FCS 1707
7 South Dakota FCS 1705
8 Yale FCS 1686
9 UC Davis FCS 1683
10 Harvard FCS 1670
11 Stephen F. Austin FCS 1661
12 Illinois State FCS 1661
13 Jackson State FCS 1661
14 Alabama State FCS 1659
15 South Dakota State FCS 1649
16 Rhode Island FCS 1645
17 Presbyterian FCS 1629
18 South Carolina State FCS 1617
19 North Dakota FCS 1615
20 Abilene Christian FCS 1607
21 Mercer FCS 1603
22 Tennessee Tech FCS 1602
23 None FCS 1601
24 San Diego FCS 1597
25 Southern Utah FCS 1596

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ isn’t published for 2022 yet — it needs games to have been played. This fills in once the season starts. It is FBS-only.