Power Ratings — 2021 50 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +20.6 +7.1 +13.6
2 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +13.5 +7.7 +5.8
3 Harvard FCS Ivy League +12.6 +3.9 +8.7
4 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +11.4 +2.6 +8.8
5 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +10.5 +1.3 +9.2
6 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.0 -0.3 +10.4
7 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +10.0 +13.5 -3.5
8 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +9.7 -0.1 +9.8
9 Princeton FCS Ivy League +9.3 +3.8 +5.5
10 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +8.0 +2.4 +5.6
11 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.4 +1.2 +6.2
12 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +6.4 +1.9 +4.4
13 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +6.3 +2.5 +3.8
14 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +6.1 +0.9 +5.1
15 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +5.7 +13.1 -7.4
16 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.5 +3.8 +1.7
17 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +5.2 +6.9 -1.7
18 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +4.7 -2.7 +7.3
19 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +4.5 -3.4 +7.9
20 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference +4.3 +2.4 +1.8
21 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference +3.7 -0.0 +3.7
22 Yale FCS Ivy League +3.3 +2.7 +0.7
23 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.7 -2.7 +5.3
24 Richmond FCS Patriot League +2.5 -1.5 +4.0
25 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +2.5 -0.4 +2.9
26 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League +1.9 -3.9 +5.8
27 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.5 -2.5 +4.0
28 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League +1.5 +4.9 -3.4
29 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.3 +0.3 +0.9
30 Columbia FCS Ivy League +1.2 -1.7 +2.9
31 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.0 +2.3 -1.2
32 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +1.0 +3.0 -2.0
33 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +0.7 -6.8 +7.5
34 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +0.6 +1.0 -0.3
35 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.4 -1.2 +0.8
36 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -1.1 -8.9 +7.8
37 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.3 -4.5 +3.1
38 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -1.6 +0.0 -1.7
39 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -1.9 +1.2 -3.0
40 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.0 -1.5 -0.5
41 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -2.1 -3.3 +1.1
42 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -2.3 +0.8 -3.0
43 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.4 -2.6 +0.3
44 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.5 +7.1 -9.6
45 Mercer FCS Southern Conference -2.5 -2.8 +0.2
46 Furman FCS Southern Conference -2.7 -4.7 +2.1
47 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -2.7 +0.9 -3.6
48 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -2.7 +2.1 -4.9
49 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -2.8 -2.6 -0.2
50 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.8 -1.7 -1.2

SRS — season 2021 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +25.0 +11.3 -19.2
2 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.0 +13.9 -10.5
3 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +15.7 +3.2 -16.7
4 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +13.8 +19.7 +0.3
5 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +13.5 +2.4 -14.6
6 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +13.4 +3.5 -12.8
7 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +13.4 +4.9 -11.5
8 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +11.1 +8.9 -5.2
9 Harvard FCS Ivy League +10.8 +1.4 -7.3
10 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +10.3 +5.0 -8.2
11 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +9.7 -0.7 -7.0
12 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +9.6 +5.6 -9.1
13 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.6 +1.4 -10.5
14 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +9.2 +10.5 +0.2
15 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +9.1 -3.1 -12.7
16 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +8.8 +4.9 -10.6
17 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference +8.4 +3.8 -3.5
18 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference +8.1 +2.8 -7.2
19 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +8.1 +16.9 +7.5
20 Princeton FCS Ivy League +6.3 +1.7 -3.5
21 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +6.0 -0.5 -4.9
22 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +4.4 +3.2 -2.2
23 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +3.8 +0.8 -5.1
24 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +3.7 +0.3 -1.8
25 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +3.5 +0.3 -2.0
26 Richmond FCS Patriot League +3.3 -1.2 -4.8
27 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +3.1 +3.8 +2.4
28 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.8 +5.0 -0.2
29 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference +2.5 -0.3 -3.5
30 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.3 -3.0 -4.8
31 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.9 +2.7 +1.3
32 Furman FCS Southern Conference +1.5 -4.4 -3.9
33 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.3 -0.8 -1.3
34 Yale FCS Ivy League +0.9 +0.6 +1.8
35 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +0.9 -8.2 -6.0
36 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference +0.2 +3.2 +0.8
37 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -0.1 -8.7 -4.0
38 Samford FCS Southern Conference -0.1 +10.5 +12.8
39 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference -1.2 +2.8 +4.5
40 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.2 -2.4 +1.4
41 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.7 -6.1 -3.1
42 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -2.1 -8.2 -7.3
43 VMI FCS Southern Conference -2.4 +0.4 +5.9
44 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -2.6 -6.4 -5.6
45 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -2.9 +5.2 +12.2
46 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.9 -4.8 +1.0
47 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -3.2 -0.7 +2.5
48 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association -3.3 -3.4 +1.1
49 Columbia FCS Ivy League -3.3 -7.1 +1.4
50 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -4.1 -2.6 +3.1

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 North Dakota State FCS 1764
2 Montana State FCS 1749
3 Lehigh FCS 1696
4 Tarleton State FCS 1685
5 Montana FCS 1681
6 South Dakota FCS 1677
7 Stephen F. Austin FCS 1661
8 Illinois State FCS 1660
9 South Carolina State FCS 1636
10 UC Davis FCS 1635
11 North Dakota FCS 1633
12 Jackson State FCS 1629
13 Tennessee Tech FCS 1624
14 Alabama State FCS 1598
15 Rhode Island FCS 1597
16 Villanova FCS 1597
17 South Dakota State FCS 1595
18 Mercer FCS 1578
19 Idaho State FCS 1576
20 Presbyterian FCS 1562
21 Southern Illinois FCS 1562
22 Dayton FCS 1562
23 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS 1561
24 Austin Peay FCS 1553
25 North Carolina Central FCS 1553

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ isn’t published for 2021 yet — it needs games to have been played. This fills in once the season starts. It is FBS-only.