Power Ratings — 2021 50 teams
Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.
| # | Team | Div | Conference | Power | Off (higher = better) | Def (higher = better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Dakota State | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +20.6 | +7.1 | +13.6 |
| 2 | South Dakota State | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +14.2 | +8.3 | +5.9 |
| 3 | Harvard | FCS | Ivy League | +13.0 | +4.1 | +8.9 |
| 4 | Dartmouth | FCS | Ivy League | +11.9 | +2.8 | +9.0 |
| 5 | Montana State | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +10.9 | +1.4 | +9.5 |
| 6 | Northern Iowa | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +10.5 | -0.2 | +10.6 |
| 7 | Eastern Washington | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +10.3 | +13.7 | -3.4 |
| 8 | Princeton | FCS | Ivy League | +9.9 | +4.1 | +5.8 |
| 9 | Montana | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +9.6 | -0.1 | +9.8 |
| 10 | South Dakota | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +8.2 | +1.5 | +6.6 |
| 11 | Villanova | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | +8.0 | +2.3 | +5.6 |
| 12 | Stephen F. Austin | FCS | Southland Conference | +7.5 | +2.3 | +5.3 |
| 13 | SE Louisiana | FCS | Southland Conference | +7.4 | +14.0 | -6.6 |
| 14 | Southern Illinois | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +7.2 | +4.9 | +2.3 |
| 15 | Incarnate Word | FCS | Southland Conference | +7.2 | +8.0 | -0.8 |
| 16 | East Tennessee State | FCS | Southern Conference | +6.8 | +3.6 | +3.1 |
| 17 | Holy Cross | FCS | Patriot League | +6.6 | +2.6 | +4.0 |
| 18 | Sacramento State | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +6.4 | +1.8 | +4.5 |
| 19 | Weber State | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +6.0 | +0.9 | +5.2 |
| 20 | Chattanooga | FCS | Southern Conference | +5.7 | -3.8 | +9.5 |
| 21 | North Dakota | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +5.2 | -1.3 | +6.5 |
| 22 | Florida A&M | FCS | Southwestern Athletic Conference | +5.2 | -2.4 | +7.6 |
| 23 | Jackson State | FCS | Southwestern Athletic Conference | +5.0 | -3.1 | +8.1 |
| 24 | Yale | FCS | Ivy League | +3.7 | +2.8 | +0.9 |
| 25 | Austin Peay | FCS | United Athletic Conference | +3.7 | +4.2 | -0.6 |
| 26 | UT Martin | FCS | OVC-Big South Association | +3.2 | +1.2 | +2.0 |
| 27 | Mercer | FCS | Southern Conference | +3.1 | -0.1 | +3.2 |
| 28 | Davidson | FCS | Pioneer Football League | +2.7 | +5.6 | -2.9 |
| 29 | UC Davis | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +2.7 | -0.4 | +3.0 |
| 30 | Monmouth | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | +2.6 | +3.1 | -0.5 |
| 31 | St. Thomas-Minnesota | FCS | Pioneer Football League | +2.6 | -3.6 | +6.1 |
| 32 | Richmond | FCS | Patriot League | +2.6 | -1.4 | +4.0 |
| 33 | Nicholls | FCS | Southland Conference | +2.4 | +2.0 | +0.5 |
| 34 | Columbia | FCS | Ivy League | +1.7 | -1.4 | +3.1 |
| 35 | William & Mary | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | +1.6 | -2.5 | +4.1 |
| 36 | Eastern Kentucky | FCS | United Athletic Conference | +0.5 | -1.2 | +1.7 |
| 37 | Elon | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | +0.4 | -0.8 | +1.1 |
| 38 | Central Arkansas | FCS | United Athletic Conference | +0.2 | +3.5 | -3.3 |
| 39 | Furman | FCS | Southern Conference | +0.2 | -3.3 | +3.5 |
| 40 | Sacred Heart | FCS | FCS Independents | -0.8 | -8.7 | +7.9 |
| 41 | Morehead State | FCS | Pioneer Football League | -0.9 | +1.6 | -2.6 |
| 42 | Tarleton State | FCS | United Athletic Conference | -1.1 | -3.9 | +2.8 |
| 43 | Maine | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | -1.3 | -1.1 | -0.2 |
| 44 | Dayton | FCS | Pioneer Football League | -1.5 | +1.1 | -2.6 |
| 44 | Stony Brook | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | -1.5 | -4.5 | +3.1 |
| 45 | San Diego | FCS | Pioneer Football League | -1.6 | -3.0 | +1.4 |
| 46 | Samford | FCS | Southern Conference | -1.7 | +8.9 | -10.6 |
| 47 | Portland State | FCS | Big Sky Conference | -1.8 | +0.0 | -1.8 |
| 48 | Rhode Island | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | -1.8 | -2.3 | +0.5 |
| 49 | Alabama A&M | FCS | Southwestern Athletic Conference | -2.1 | +7.3 | -9.5 |
SRS — season 2021 reference
The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.
| # | Team | Div | Conference | SRS | Off (higher = better) | Def (lower = better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Dakota State | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +25.0 | +11.3 | -19.2 |
| 2 | South Dakota State | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +19.0 | +13.9 | -10.5 |
| 3 | Northern Iowa | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +15.7 | +3.2 | -16.7 |
| 4 | Eastern Washington | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +13.8 | +19.7 | +0.3 |
| 5 | Montana | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +13.5 | +2.4 | -14.6 |
| 6 | Montana State | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +13.4 | +3.5 | -12.8 |
| 7 | South Dakota | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +13.4 | +4.9 | -11.5 |
| 8 | Southern Illinois | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +11.1 | +8.9 | -5.2 |
| 9 | Harvard | FCS | Ivy League | +10.8 | +1.4 | -7.3 |
| 10 | Sacramento State | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +10.3 | +5.0 | -8.2 |
| 11 | Dartmouth | FCS | Ivy League | +9.7 | -0.7 | -7.0 |
| 12 | Villanova | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | +9.6 | +5.6 | -9.1 |
| 13 | North Dakota | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +9.6 | +1.4 | -10.5 |
| 14 | Incarnate Word | FCS | Southland Conference | +9.2 | +10.5 | +0.2 |
| 15 | Chattanooga | FCS | Southern Conference | +9.1 | -3.1 | -12.7 |
| 16 | Weber State | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +8.8 | +4.9 | -10.6 |
| 17 | East Tennessee State | FCS | Southern Conference | +8.4 | +3.8 | -3.5 |
| 18 | Stephen F. Austin | FCS | Southland Conference | +8.1 | +2.8 | -7.2 |
| 19 | SE Louisiana | FCS | Southland Conference | +8.1 | +16.9 | +7.5 |
| 20 | Princeton | FCS | Ivy League | +6.3 | +1.7 | -3.5 |
| 21 | Mercer | FCS | Southern Conference | +6.0 | -0.5 | -4.9 |
| 22 | Nicholls | FCS | Southland Conference | +4.4 | +3.2 | -2.2 |
| 23 | UC Davis | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +3.8 | +0.8 | -5.1 |
| 24 | Holy Cross | FCS | Patriot League | +3.7 | +0.3 | -1.8 |
| 25 | UT Martin | FCS | OVC-Big South Association | +3.5 | +0.3 | -2.0 |
| 26 | Richmond | FCS | Patriot League | +3.3 | -1.2 | -4.8 |
| 27 | Austin Peay | FCS | United Athletic Conference | +3.1 | +3.8 | +2.4 |
| 28 | Youngstown State | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | +2.8 | +5.0 | -0.2 |
| 29 | Eastern Kentucky | FCS | United Athletic Conference | +2.5 | -0.3 | -3.5 |
| 30 | William & Mary | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | +2.3 | -3.0 | -4.8 |
| 31 | Monmouth | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | +1.9 | +2.7 | +1.3 |
| 32 | Furman | FCS | Southern Conference | +1.5 | -4.4 | -3.9 |
| 33 | Elon | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | +1.3 | -0.8 | -1.3 |
| 34 | Yale | FCS | Ivy League | +0.9 | +0.6 | +1.8 |
| 35 | Jackson State | FCS | Southwestern Athletic Conference | +0.9 | -8.2 | -6.0 |
| 36 | Portland State | FCS | Big Sky Conference | +0.2 | +3.2 | +0.8 |
| 37 | Florida A&M | FCS | Southwestern Athletic Conference | -0.1 | -8.7 | -4.0 |
| 38 | Samford | FCS | Southern Conference | -0.1 | +10.5 | +12.8 |
| 39 | Central Arkansas | FCS | United Athletic Conference | -1.2 | +2.8 | +4.5 |
| 40 | Maine | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | -1.2 | -2.4 | +1.4 |
| 41 | Stony Brook | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | -1.7 | -6.1 | -3.1 |
| 42 | McNeese | FCS | Southland Conference | -2.1 | -8.2 | -7.3 |
| 43 | VMI | FCS | Southern Conference | -2.4 | +0.4 | +5.9 |
| 44 | Illinois State | FCS | Missouri Valley Football Conference | -2.6 | -6.4 | -5.6 |
| 45 | Western Carolina | FCS | Southern Conference | -2.9 | +5.2 | +12.2 |
| 46 | Rhode Island | FCS | Coastal Athletic Association | -2.9 | -4.8 | +1.0 |
| 47 | Northern Arizona | FCS | Big Sky Conference | -3.2 | -0.7 | +2.5 |
| 48 | Charleston Southern | FCS | OVC-Big South Association | -3.3 | -3.4 | +1.1 |
| 49 | Columbia | FCS | Ivy League | -3.3 | -7.1 | +1.4 |
| 50 | Idaho | FCS | Big Sky Conference | -4.1 | -2.6 | +3.1 |
Elo — live 2025 · week 16
| # | Team | Div | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Dakota State | FCS | 1858 |
| 2 | Montana State | FCS | 1823 |
| 3 | Tarleton State | FCS | 1726 |
| 4 | Villanova | FCS | 1724 |
| 5 | Montana | FCS | 1719 |
| 6 | Lehigh | FCS | 1707 |
| 7 | South Dakota | FCS | 1705 |
| 8 | Yale | FCS | 1686 |
| 9 | UC Davis | FCS | 1683 |
| 10 | Harvard | FCS | 1670 |
| 11 | Stephen F. Austin | FCS | 1661 |
| 12 | Illinois State | FCS | 1661 |
| 13 | Jackson State | FCS | 1661 |
| 14 | Alabama State | FCS | 1659 |
| 15 | South Dakota State | FCS | 1649 |
| 16 | Rhode Island | FCS | 1645 |
| 17 | Presbyterian | FCS | 1629 |
| 18 | South Carolina State | FCS | 1617 |
| 19 | North Dakota | FCS | 1615 |
| 20 | Abilene Christian | FCS | 1607 |
| 21 | Mercer | FCS | 1603 |
| 22 | Tennessee Tech | FCS | 1602 |
| 23 | None | FCS | 1601 |
| 24 | San Diego | FCS | 1597 |
| 25 | Southern Utah | FCS | 1596 |
Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input
SP+ isn’t published for 2021 yet — it needs games to have been played. This fills in once the season starts. It is FBS-only.