BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2019 50 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +23.6 +10.2 +13.4
2 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +14.3 +5.7 +8.6
3 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +12.8 +8.3 +4.5
4 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +11.2 +0.9 +10.3
5 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +10.9 +1.2 +9.6
6 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +9.9 +2.8 +7.1
7 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +9.7 +4.6 +5.1
8 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.2 -3.3 +12.5
9 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +7.6 +11.6 -4.0
10 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +6.6 -5.6 +12.2
11 Princeton FCS Ivy League +6.4 +2.3 +4.0
12 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +6.3 +7.7 -1.3
13 Yale FCS Ivy League +6.1 +8.1 -2.0
14 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +5.9 +3.5 +2.4
15 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +5.9 +1.1 +4.8
16 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.7 +1.5 +4.2
17 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +5.6 +4.9 +0.7
18 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association +5.6 +2.9 +2.6
19 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +4.6 +4.7 -0.1
20 Furman FCS Southern Conference +3.7 -0.4 +4.1
21 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.7 +4.6 -2.0
22 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.5 +2.4 +0.2
23 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +2.4 +4.7 -2.3
24 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.3 +2.5 -0.2
25 Harvard FCS Ivy League +1.6 -1.2 +2.8
26 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.5 -1.4 +2.9
27 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.4 +4.9 -3.5
28 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference +1.3 +1.7 -0.5
29 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.0 +1.4 -0.4
30 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +0.9 +0.4 +0.5
31 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.8 -7.3 +8.0
32 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.4 +1.8 -1.4
33 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +0.2 -0.9 +1.1
34 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +0.1 -2.0 +2.1
35 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -0.2 -1.2 +1.0
36 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference -0.5 -0.8 +0.3
37 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference -0.6 +0.6 -1.2
38 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -0.8 +1.4 -2.1
39 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -1.0 -0.1 -0.9
40 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.0 -0.3 -1.7
41 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -2.0 -6.1 +4.1
42 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.3 -3.6 +1.3
43 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -2.3 -0.8 -1.5
44 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -2.6 -4.0 +1.4
45 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association -3.0 -4.0 +1.0
46 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -3.2 -4.5 +1.3
47 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -3.3 -5.2 +1.9
48 Richmond FCS Patriot League -3.9 -4.8 +0.9
49 Samford FCS Southern Conference -3.9 +4.0 -8.0
50 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League -4.0 -5.2 +1.2

SRS — season 2019 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +23.7 +11.5 -15.8
2 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +16.5 +12.0 -8.8
3 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +15.4 +7.7 -12.0
4 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +14.4 +5.5 -10.3
5 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +13.6 +3.7 -12.2
6 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +13.2 +5.3 -10.2
7 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.7 -3.2 -13.7
8 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +9.4 +5.5 -4.3
9 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +9.3 -0.9 -10.1
10 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +8.1 +9.6 +1.6
11 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association +7.9 +3.6 -6.3
12 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.8 +0.8 -6.3
13 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +6.9 +12.6 +2.8
14 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +6.7 +7.5 -0.2
15 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +6.5 -7.1 -12.4
16 Yale FCS Ivy League +6.5 +8.9 +2.2
17 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +6.5 +6.0 -2.1
18 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +5.9 +1.9 -5.7
19 Furman FCS Southern Conference +5.0 +0.2 -6.2
20 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference +4.8 +2.6 +0.8
21 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association +4.6 +3.7 -1.5
22 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +4.0 +5.6 +1.0
23 Princeton FCS Ivy League +3.8 -0.9 -4.4
24 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.7 -0.4 -3.7
24 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +3.7 -0.9 -4.3
25 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.6 +3.8 +0.2
26 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +3.4 +1.2 -2.3
27 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +3.2 +0.7 -2.9
28 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.6 +2.7 +1.3
29 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.6 -7.5 -9.5
30 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.5 +4.6 +2.7
31 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.0 +3.2 +1.2
32 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +2.0 +0.6 -0.9
33 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +1.9 +2.0 +2.3
34 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.8 -0.9 -1.1
35 McNeese FCS Southland Conference +0.8 -3.0 -3.3
36 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +0.7 +0.2 -1.3
37 Harvard FCS Ivy League +0.5 -2.4 -2.0
38 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.5 -1.2 -2.9
39 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference +0.4 -0.1 +1.8
40 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -0.1 -3.4 -1.7
41 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -0.3 +0.4 +1.2
42 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -0.6 -5.4 +0.3
43 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -0.8 +0.8 -0.0
44 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.0 -3.4 -0.4
45 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.1 -5.1 -2.3
46 Richmond FCS Patriot League -2.1 -6.3 -3.3
47 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -2.2 -0.4 +1.0
48 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -2.2 -8.0 -5.0
49 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -2.6 -1.6 +1.8

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 North Dakota State FCS 1764
2 Montana State FCS 1749
3 Lehigh FCS 1696
4 Tarleton State FCS 1685
5 Montana FCS 1681
6 South Dakota FCS 1677
7 Stephen F. Austin FCS 1661
8 Illinois State FCS 1660
9 South Carolina State FCS 1636
10 UC Davis FCS 1635
11 North Dakota FCS 1633
12 Jackson State FCS 1629
13 Tennessee Tech FCS 1624
14 Alabama State FCS 1598
15 Rhode Island FCS 1597
16 Villanova FCS 1597
17 South Dakota State FCS 1595
18 Mercer FCS 1578
19 Idaho State FCS 1576
20 Presbyterian FCS 1562
21 Southern Illinois FCS 1562
22 Dayton FCS 1562
23 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS 1561
24 Austin Peay FCS 1553
25 North Carolina Central FCS 1553

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ isn’t published for 2019 yet — it needs games to have been played. This fills in once the season starts. It is FBS-only.