BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2019 50 teams

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ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +22.1 +9.6 +12.6
2 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +13.8 +2.5 +11.3
3 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +12.8 +4.6 +8.2
4 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +12.3 +7.9 +4.4
5 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +9.9 +3.0 +6.9
6 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +9.8 +1.0 +8.8
7 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +9.5 +4.4 +5.1
8 Princeton FCS Ivy League +8.7 +3.1 +5.7
9 Yale FCS Ivy League +8.7 +9.3 -0.6
10 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +8.4 +6.4 +2.0
11 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +8.2 +4.6 +3.6
12 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +8.1 -3.6 +11.7
13 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +7.9 +8.7 -0.7
14 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +6.4 +1.5 +4.9
15 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association +6.3 +2.9 +3.4
16 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +6.2 +10.6 -4.4
17 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +6.1 -5.6 +11.8
18 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +5.6 +4.4 +1.2
19 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.3 +1.0 +4.3
20 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +5.0 +4.4 +0.6
21 Furman FCS Southern Conference +4.8 +0.3 +4.6
22 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference +4.8 +3.3 +1.4
23 Harvard FCS Ivy League +4.4 +0.4 +4.0
24 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +4.4 +5.6 -1.3
25 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.9 +5.7 -1.9
26 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.0 +2.5 +0.5
27 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +3.0 +2.1 +0.8
28 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.5 +2.8 -0.2
29 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.0 -0.8 +2.9
30 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.9 -6.4 +8.3
31 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.9 +0.7 +1.2
32 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +1.8 +4.0 -2.3
33 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +1.5 -0.1 +1.7
34 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.4 -1.3 +2.7
35 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference +1.2 -1.8 +3.1
36 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.2 +2.3 -1.1
37 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference +1.0 +1.3 -0.3
38 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +0.9 -0.0 +0.9
39 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League +0.7 +10.1 -9.4
40 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +0.4 +1.7 -1.3
41 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +0.1 -0.7 +0.8
42 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference +0.0 -2.4 +2.4
43 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -0.2 +0.9 -1.0
44 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -0.6 -3.0 +2.5
45 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -0.8 -3.5 +2.7
46 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -1.0 +1.1 -2.2
47 Cornell FCS Ivy League -1.1 -6.3 +5.2
48 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League -1.3 -3.9 +2.6
49 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.5 -2.7 +1.3
50 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -1.6 -0.3 -1.2

SRS — season 2019 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +23.7 +11.5 -15.8
2 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +16.5 +12.0 -8.8
3 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +15.4 +7.7 -12.0
4 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +14.4 +5.5 -10.3
5 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +13.6 +3.7 -12.2
6 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +13.2 +5.3 -10.2
7 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.7 -3.2 -13.7
8 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +9.4 +5.5 -4.3
9 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +9.3 -0.9 -10.1
10 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +8.1 +9.6 +1.6
11 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association +7.9 +3.6 -6.3
12 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.8 +0.8 -6.3
13 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +6.9 +12.6 +2.8
14 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +6.7 +7.5 -0.2
15 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +6.5 -7.1 -12.4
16 Yale FCS Ivy League +6.5 +8.9 +2.2
17 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +6.5 +6.0 -2.1
18 Wofford FCS Southern Conference +5.9 +1.9 -5.7
19 Furman FCS Southern Conference +5.0 +0.2 -6.2
20 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference +4.8 +2.6 +0.8
21 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association +4.6 +3.7 -1.5
22 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +4.0 +5.6 +1.0
23 Princeton FCS Ivy League +3.8 -0.9 -4.4
24 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.7 -0.4 -3.7
24 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +3.7 -0.9 -4.3
25 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association +3.6 +3.8 +0.2
26 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference +3.4 +1.2 -2.3
27 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +3.2 +0.7 -2.9
28 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.6 +2.7 +1.3
29 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.6 -7.5 -9.5
30 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.5 +4.6 +2.7
31 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.0 +3.2 +1.2
32 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference +2.0 +0.6 -0.9
33 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League +1.9 +2.0 +2.3
34 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.8 -0.9 -1.1
35 McNeese FCS Southland Conference +0.8 -3.0 -3.3
36 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +0.7 +0.2 -1.3
37 Harvard FCS Ivy League +0.5 -2.4 -2.0
38 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +0.5 -1.2 -2.9
39 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference +0.4 -0.1 +1.8
40 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -0.1 -3.4 -1.7
41 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -0.3 +0.4 +1.2
42 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -0.6 -5.4 +0.3
43 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -0.8 +0.8 -0.0
44 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.0 -3.4 -0.4
45 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.1 -5.1 -2.3
46 Richmond FCS Patriot League -2.1 -6.3 -3.3
47 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -2.2 -0.4 +1.0
48 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -2.2 -8.0 -5.0
49 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -2.6 -1.6 +1.8

Elo — live 2025 · week 16

#TeamDivElo
1 North Dakota State FCS 1858
2 Montana State FCS 1823
3 Tarleton State FCS 1726
4 Villanova FCS 1724
5 Montana FCS 1719
6 Lehigh FCS 1707
7 South Dakota FCS 1705
8 Yale FCS 1686
9 UC Davis FCS 1683
10 Harvard FCS 1670
11 Stephen F. Austin FCS 1661
12 Illinois State FCS 1661
13 Jackson State FCS 1661
14 Alabama State FCS 1659
15 South Dakota State FCS 1649
16 Rhode Island FCS 1645
17 Presbyterian FCS 1629
18 South Carolina State FCS 1617
19 North Dakota FCS 1615
20 Abilene Christian FCS 1607
21 Mercer FCS 1603
22 Tennessee Tech FCS 1602
23 None FCS 1601
24 San Diego FCS 1597
25 Southern Utah FCS 1596

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ isn’t published for 2019 yet — it needs games to have been played. This fills in once the season starts. It is FBS-only.