BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2016 50 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+21.5	+5.0	+16.5
2	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+15.0	+13.7	+1.3
3	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+12.9	+8.6	+4.3
4	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+12.9	+7.6	+5.3
5	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	+12.8	+5.9	+6.9
6	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+12.7	+2.3	+10.4
7	San Diego	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+11.9	+3.9	+8.0
8	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+11.7	+1.6	+10.1
9	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+11.1	+4.9	+6.2
10	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	+8.9	+11.4	-2.5
11	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	+8.6	-1.2	+9.8
12	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+8.1	+0.6	+7.4
13	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+8.0	-5.4	+13.3
14	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	+7.9	+0.6	+7.2
15	Dayton	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+6.9	+1.0	+5.9
16	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+6.7	+5.4	+1.3
17	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+6.5	+0.9	+5.6
18	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	+6.5	+3.7	+2.8
19	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	+6.0	+7.2	-1.2
20	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	+5.6	+4.3	+1.3
21	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	+5.4	+0.6	+4.8
22	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+4.4	+2.3	+2.2
23	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+4.4	+0.1	+4.3
24	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+4.2	-1.2	+5.5
25	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+4.2	+4.5	-0.3
26	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+3.7	+3.5	+0.3
27	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	+3.5	+10.2	-6.6
28	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	+3.4	-0.8	+4.2
29	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+3.4	+0.4	+3.0
30	Colgate	FCS	Patriot League	+2.6	-0.2	+2.8
31	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+2.6	+6.6	-4.0
32	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+2.5	+5.0	-2.5
33	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	+2.5	-0.5	+3.0
34	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.7	+3.9	-2.2
35	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	+1.6	-6.0	+7.7
36	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.1	+4.7	-3.5
37	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+0.8	+1.2	-0.4
38	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+0.1	+2.9	-2.7
39	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-0.1	-2.1	+2.0
40	Furman	FCS	Southern Conference	-0.2	-1.5	+1.3
41	UAlbany	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-0.7	-4.0	+3.3
42	Bryant	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-0.9	+0.7	-1.6
43	Indiana State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-2.1	+1.1	-3.2
44	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	-2.3	-1.5	-0.8
45	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-2.4	-2.2	-0.2
46	Portland State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-2.4	+3.9	-6.3
47	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-2.4	-6.1	+3.7
48	Drake	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-2.4	-2.3	-0.2
49	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-3.0	-0.4	-2.6
50	Maine	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-3.2	-4.5	+1.3

SRS — season 2016 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+21.3	+6.8	-19.8
2	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+19.6	+18.2	-6.3
3	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+14.2	+5.3	-14.1
4	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	+13.4	+7.0	-8.7
5	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+12.9	+12.1	-5.0
6	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+12.7	+5.5	-14.1
7	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+12.7	+7.5	-5.2
8	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+12.4	+10.0	-4.7
9	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	+11.5	-0.0	-12.9
10	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+9.5	+3.6	-7.6
11	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+9.3	-3.6	-15.5
12	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	+8.9	+1.7	-8.7
13	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+7.8	+1.3	-10.2
14	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	+7.6	+8.2	-1.1
15	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	+7.0	+9.2	+3.7
16	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	+6.4	+3.4	-3.6
17	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+5.3	+0.3	-6.9
18	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+4.9	-0.3	-1.2
19	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+4.8	+1.9	-3.6
20	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+4.4	+9.1	-1.2
21	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+4.2	+5.2	-1.5
22	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+4.2	+1.6	-4.1
23	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+3.8	+8.4	+1.0
24	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+3.2	+3.6	-2.5
25	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+3.1	+6.7	+1.2
26	Furman	FCS	Southern Conference	+3.1	+2.7	-3.6
27	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.9	+5.4	-0.5
28	UAlbany	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.5	-2.2	-4.9
29	San Diego	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+2.0	+1.0	-1.9
30	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	+1.3	+0.1	+0.9
31	Colgate	FCS	Patriot League	+0.7	-1.3	-1.7
32	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	+0.4	+1.2	-0.4
33	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+0.1	-0.7	-1.8
34	Maine	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-0.0	-2.0	-2.7
35	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	-0.1	-3.8	-2.8
36	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-0.2	+1.7	-2.0
37	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	-0.3	+0.3	+1.9
38	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-0.4	-1.3	+4.7
39	Nicholls	FCS	Southland Conference	-0.7	+0.6	+2.1
40	SE Louisiana	FCS	Southland Conference	-1.0	-1.3	+2.9
41	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	-1.1	+6.8	+7.2
42	Tennessee Tech	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-1.4	-1.2	-0.3
43	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-1.8	-3.9	-1.9
44	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-1.8	-4.2	-2.2
45	Indiana State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-1.8	+2.4	+2.0
46	Stony Brook	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-2.0	-9.2	-7.2
47	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	-2.1	-5.4	-1.9
48	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-2.5	-4.3	-4.7
49	Eastern Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-3.0	-1.4	+0.7
50	Weber State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-3.3	-2.5	-0.2

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	North Dakota State	FCS	1764
2	Montana State	FCS	1749
3	Lehigh	FCS	1696
4	Tarleton State	FCS	1685
5	Montana	FCS	1681
6	South Dakota	FCS	1677
7	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	1661
8	Illinois State	FCS	1660
9	South Carolina State	FCS	1636
10	UC Davis	FCS	1635
11	North Dakota	FCS	1633
12	Jackson State	FCS	1629
13	Tennessee Tech	FCS	1624
14	Alabama State	FCS	1598
15	Rhode Island	FCS	1597
16	Villanova	FCS	1597
17	South Dakota State	FCS	1595
18	Mercer	FCS	1578
19	Idaho State	FCS	1576
20	Presbyterian	FCS	1562
21	Southern Illinois	FCS	1562
22	Dayton	FCS	1562
23	St. Thomas-Minnesota	FCS	1561
24	Austin Peay	FCS	1553
25	North Carolina Central	FCS	1553

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input.

SP+ top 1