BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2015 50 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+16.6	+6.8	+9.8
2	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	+14.5	+1.6	+12.9
3	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+14.0	+6.2	+7.7
4	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+11.0	+4.4	+6.6
5	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	+10.3	-0.7	+11.0
6	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+10.1	+5.8	+4.3
7	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+9.9	+1.7	+8.2
8	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+9.4	+1.7	+7.7
9	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	+9.3	+3.0	+6.2
10	Alcorn State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+8.0	+6.3	+1.7
11	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+7.8	+2.9	+5.0
12	Portland State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+7.8	+3.6	+4.2
13	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+7.6	+4.6	+3.0
14	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	+7.4	+5.5	+1.8
15	San Diego	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+7.2	+2.1	+5.1
16	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	+7.1	+2.7	+4.5
17	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	+6.7	+6.0	+0.6
18	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+6.3	+0.7	+5.6
19	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	+6.0	+2.9	+3.1
20	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+5.5	+10.1	-4.6
21	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+5.5	+2.1	+3.3
22	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+5.3	+0.9	+4.4
23	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+5.2	+2.6	+2.6
24	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+4.7	+2.8	+1.9
25	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	+4.5	+9.5	-5.0
26	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	+4.3	+5.8	-1.5
27	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+4.1	+8.9	-4.8
28	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	+3.8	+0.8	+3.0
29	Dayton	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+3.7	-2.1	+5.8
30	Bethune-Cookman	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+2.9	+3.5	-0.7
31	Bryant	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.8	+0.1	+2.7
32	Prairie View A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+2.7	+9.7	-7.0
33	Holy Cross	FCS	Patriot League	+2.6	+1.6	+1.0
34	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.6	-2.8	+5.5
35	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+2.6	+9.3	-6.7
36	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.4	+7.6	-5.2
37	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+2.2	+6.2	-4.0
38	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	+2.2	+1.6	+0.5
39	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.0	-5.2	+7.2
40	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	+1.8	-4.1	+6.0
41	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	+1.7	-1.2	+3.0
42	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.5	-0.3	+1.9
43	Morehead State	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+1.5	+0.5	+1.0
44	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+1.2	-0.4	+1.5
44	Butler	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+1.2	+0.4	+0.7
45	Towson	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+1.1	-1.6	+2.7
46	Marist	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+0.8	-2.8	+3.6
47	Sacred Heart	FCS	FCS Independents	+0.7	-0.2	+0.9
48	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+0.6	-1.6	+2.1
49	Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+0.5	+4.6	-4.2

SRS — season 2015 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+22.5	+11.9	-15.1
2	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+15.5	+10.8	-8.7
3	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+15.1	+5.6	-13.2
4	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	+14.8	+1.3	-14.4
5	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+14.6	+9.1	-10.1
6	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+13.9	+5.4	-11.4
7	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	+12.1	+4.6	-8.8
8	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+11.7	+4.9	-8.7
9	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	+9.9	+7.9	-3.5
10	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+9.8	+5.8	-6.7
11	Portland State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+9.5	+6.9	-6.3
12	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	+9.1	+5.4	-7.3
13	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+8.5	+5.8	-3.1
14	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+8.4	+3.5	-5.5
15	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+8.1	+4.4	-3.0
16	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+7.1	+2.1	-6.7
17	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+7.1	+12.4	+2.7
18	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	+6.6	+7.5	-0.6
19	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	+6.4	-5.1	-8.7
20	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	+5.2	+4.2	-3.1
21	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	+4.7	+8.7	+2.3
22	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	+4.1	+11.2	+6.9
23	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+4.1	+2.4	-1.8
24	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+3.3	+9.3	+8.7
25	Indiana State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+3.1	+3.4	+0.0
26	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+3.0	-4.6	-10.0
27	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.9	-4.4	-2.5
28	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+2.8	+6.0	+5.2
29	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.3	-2.9	-5.6
30	Towson	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+1.6	-0.5	-3.7
31	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+1.4	+0.0	-2.8
32	Holy Cross	FCS	Patriot League	+1.4	+1.8	-0.9
33	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.3	-0.7	-2.0
34	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	+1.1	+0.6	-2.3
35	Alcorn State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+0.8	-0.0	+5.4
36	Eastern Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+0.6	-2.2	-2.3
37	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+0.6	+7.0	+5.2
38	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+0.4	+9.6	+5.2
39	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	+0.3	-2.2	-2.4
40	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+0.2	+10.3	+9.2
41	Weber State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-0.1	-6.0	-4.0
42	Bethune-Cookman	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-0.5	+0.1	+9.1
43	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-1.2	+1.7	+14.0
44	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	-1.6	-2.4	+2.8
45	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-1.7	+5.9	+8.3
46	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	-1.7	-3.7	+1.2
47	Colgate	FCS	Patriot League	-2.2	-2.6	+0.3
48	Southeast Missouri State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-2.3	-1.5	-0.7
49	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-2.5	-1.8	-0.7
50	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-2.6	-10.5	-1.9

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	North Dakota State	FCS	1764
2	Montana State	FCS	1749
3	Lehigh	FCS	1696
4	Tarleton State	FCS	1685
5	Montana	FCS	1681
6	South Dakota	FCS	1677
7	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	1661
8	Illinois State	FCS	1660
9	South Carolina State	FCS	1636
10	UC Davis	FCS	1635
11	North Dakota	FCS	1633
12	Jackson State	FCS	1629
13	Tennessee Tech	FCS	1624
14	Alabama State	FCS	1598
15	Rhode Island	FCS	1597
16	Villanova	FCS	1597
17	South Dakota State	FCS	1595
18	Mercer	FCS	1578
19	Idaho State	FCS	1576
20	Presbyterian	FCS	1562
21	Southern Illinois	FCS	1562
22	Dayton	FCS	1562
23	St. Thomas-Minnesota	FCS	1561
24	Austin Peay	FCS	1553
25	North Carolina Central	FCS	1553

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input.

SP+ top 1