← Matchups

Glenville State

· 0-1 · power -9.0 · #283
Our numberGLEN -4.7 no book has priced this game

Mercyhurst

· 0-3 · power -16.3 · #357
Our side
MoneylineGLEN to win ours 40%
Projected score 31–26 GLEN – MERC
2026-09-19 · 1:00 PM Saxon Stadium · Erie, PA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Mercyhurst Lakers Balanced · 47% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Glenville State Pioneers
No graded players for this team in 2025.
Mercyhurst Lakers
DL Zacchaeus Dixon 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #135 DL
DB Braylon Beckwith 21 tkl #182 DB
TE Camden Lewis 10 rec · 83 yds · 1 TD #44 TE
P Thomas O'Neill 19 punts · 43.3 yd avg #24 P

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Glenville State Pioneers -9.0 -3.9 -5.1 #283
Mercyhurst Lakers -16.3 -8.4 -7.9 #357

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Glenville State offense vs Mercyhurst defense+4.0 pts
Mercyhurst offense vs Glenville State defense-3.3 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 16 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.