← Matchups

Pennsylvania

· power -6.7 · #260
Our numberPENN -0.3 no book has priced this game

Princeton

· power -9.8 · #293
Our side
MoneylinePENN to win ours 49%
Projected score 27–26 PENN – PRIN
2026-11-21 · 12:00 PM Princeton Stadium · Princeton, NJ Conference game Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Princeton lead 63–31–1 · 95 meetings since 1876
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 22 ranks apart
Pennsylvania Quakers #147 rush offense Princeton Tigers #169 run defense
Pass game edge Pennsylvania Quakers 73 ranks
Pennsylvania Quakers #84 pass offense Princeton Tigers #157 pass defense
Run game even 31 ranks apart
Princeton Tigers #159 rush offense Pennsylvania Quakers #190 run defense
Pass game even 25 ranks apart
Princeton Tigers #198 pass offense Pennsylvania Quakers #173 pass defense
Pennsylvania Quakers Balanced · 49% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 55 rush ypg Princeton Tigers Balanced · 53% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Pennsylvania Quakers -6.7 -1.4 -5.3 #260
Princeton Tigers -9.8 -9.6 -0.2 #293

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Pennsylvania offense vs Princeton defense-1.2 pts
Princeton offense vs Pennsylvania defense-4.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.