Final
STET 7 · SDST 70
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineSDST to win logged
ours 96%
Our number: SDST by 33.2 — SDST to win.
Projected score
16–46
STET – SDST
2026-08-29 · 7:00 PM
Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium · Brookings, SD
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge South Dakota State Jackrabbits
208 ranks
Stetson Hatters #238 rush offense
South Dakota State Jackrabbits #30 run defense
Pass game
edge South Dakota State Jackrabbits
163 ranks
Stetson Hatters #256 pass offense
South Dakota State Jackrabbits #93 pass defense
Run game
edge South Dakota State Jackrabbits
136 ranks
South Dakota State Jackrabbits #107 rush offense
Stetson Hatters #243 run defense
Pass game
edge South Dakota State Jackrabbits
121 ranks
South Dakota State Jackrabbits #111 pass offense
Stetson Hatters #232 pass defense
Stetson Hatters
Run-heavy · 71% run
Ball-control
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Run-heavy · 60% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Stetson Hatters
DB
Dylan Kelly
15 tkl · 1 PD
#227 DB
DL
Alex Yearwood
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#344 DL
DB
Johnny DeLancy
6 tkl · 1 PD
#363 DB
WR
Landon Farco
5 rec · 95 yds · 1 TD
#339 WR
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
K
Tristan Alvano
6 FG · 17 XP · 35 pts
#4 K
P
Max Pelham
10 punts · 47.9 yd avg
#3 P
TE
Greyton Gannon
5 rec · 81 yds · 2 TD
#36 TE
WR
Grahm Goering
13 rec · 254 yds
#127 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Stetson offense vs South Dakota State defense-8.1 pts
South Dakota State offense vs Stetson defense+18.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,357 mi
Altitude · context only481 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.