← Matchups

Houston Christian

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -16.2 · #356
Our numberUIW -19.6 no book has priced this game

Incarnate Word

· 1-1 · power +0.1 · #174
Our side
MoneylineUIW to win ours 86%
Projected score 20–40 HCU – UIW
2026-09-19 · 7:00 PM Gayle and Tom Benson Stadium · San Antonio, TX Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Incarnate Word lead 11–0 · 11 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Incarnate Word Cardinals 151 ranks
Houston Christian Huskies #202 rush offense Incarnate Word Cardinals #51 run defense
Pass game edge Incarnate Word Cardinals 92 ranks
Houston Christian Huskies #261 pass offense Incarnate Word Cardinals #169 pass defense
Run game even 12 ranks apart
Incarnate Word Cardinals #160 rush offense Houston Christian Huskies #172 run defense
Pass game edge Houston Christian Huskies 84 ranks
Incarnate Word Cardinals #172 pass offense Houston Christian Huskies #88 pass defense
Houston Christian Huskies Balanced · 55% run Ball-control Incarnate Word Cardinals Balanced · 52% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Houston Christian Huskies
LB Jayven Anderson 21 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 7.0 TFL #25 LB
P Julian Maceri 5 punts · 45.2 yd avg #9 P
DL Calvin Kalu-Alexander 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #351 DL
DB Darius Bean 17 tkl · 1 PD #341 DB
Incarnate Word Cardinals
DL Jeremiah Young 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #28 DL
RB Lontrell Turner 153 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec #60 RB
LB Christian Barney 18 tkl · 1.0 TFL #103 LB
WR Isaiah Champagne 12 rec · 141 yds · 1 TD #159 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Houston Christian Huskies -16.2 -7.9 -8.3 #356
Incarnate Word Cardinals +0.1 +3.7 -3.7 #174

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Houston Christian offense vs Incarnate Word defense-4.2 pts
Incarnate Word offense vs Houston Christian defense+12.0 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.