← Matchups

Louisiana Christian

· 1-0 · power -22.7 · #386

Our numberLOUI -1.7 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Northwestern State

· 0-3 (0-1) · power -27.1 · #392

Final LOUI 42 · NWST 37 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineNWST to win logged live now: LOUI to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 46%

Our number: NWST by 3.2 — NWST to win.

Projected score 34–32 LOUI – NWST

2026-08-27 · 8:00 PM Turpin Stadium · Natchitoches, LA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Northwestern State Demons Run-heavy · 63% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Louisiana Christian Wildcats

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Northwestern State Demons

DL Geoffrey Ojeh 7 tkl · 1.0 TFL #296 DL

DB Joe Natali 14 tkl #481 DB

LB Danny Sears 14 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL #370 LB

DB Diego Sanchez 9 tkl · 1 PD #676 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Louisiana Christian Wildcats	-22.7	-5.2	-17.5	#386
Northwestern State Demons	-27.1	-9.6	-17.4	#392

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Louisiana Christian offense vs Northwestern State defense+12.2 pts

Northwestern State offense vs Louisiana Christian defense+7.8 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.