← Matchups

Louisiana Christian

· 1-0 · power -22.7 · #386
Our numberSOU -6.1 no book has priced this game

Southern

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -19.5 · #373
Our side
MoneylineSOU to win ours 63%
Projected score 29–35 LOUI – SOU
2026-09-19 · 7:00 PM A.W. Mumford Stadium · Baton Rouge, LA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Southern Jaguars Run-heavy · 65% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Louisiana Christian Wildcats
No graded players for this team in 2025.
Southern Jaguars
DB Tay James 8 tkl · 1 INT #79 DB
DL Ckelby Givens 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL #119 DL
RB Trey Holly 141 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec #184 RB
DB Ty Lee 9 tkl · 1 PD #525 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Louisiana Christian Wildcats -22.7 -5.2 -17.5 #386
Southern Jaguars -19.5 -8.4 -11.1 #373

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Louisiana Christian offense vs Southern defense+5.9 pts
Southern offense vs Louisiana Christian defense+9.1 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 16 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.