← Matchups

Delta State

· power +0.0 · #177

Our numberDELT -25.0 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Mississippi Valley State

· 1-2 · power -27.0 · #391

Our side

MoneylineDELT to win ours 8%

Projected score 40–15 DELT – MVSU

2026-09-19 · 7:00 PM Rice-Totten Stadium · Itta Bena, MS Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Delta State lead 3–0 · 3 meetings since 2013

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Balanced · 45% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Delta State Statesmen

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

DB Tyrell Johnson 6 tkl · 1 INT #81 DB

LB Douglas Franklin 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #146 LB

TE Jaylen King 12 rec · 85 yds · 1 TD #53 TE

DB Jamari Stokes 11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #322 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Delta State Statesmen	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0	#177
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils	-27.0	-13.7	-13.2	#391

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Delta State offense vs Mississippi Valley State defense+13.2 pts

Mississippi Valley State offense vs Delta State defense-13.7 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.