← Matchups

Lincoln (PA)

· 0-1 · power -29.0 · #395

Our numberMVSU -2.5 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Mississippi Valley State

· 1-2 · power -27.0 · #391

Final LINC 20 · MVSU 31 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineLINC to win logged live now: MVSU to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 56%

Our number: LINC by 7.0 — LINC to win.

Projected score 27–29 LINC – MVSU

2026-09-12 · 4:00 PM Soldier Field · Chicago, IL · neutral Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Balanced · 45% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Lincoln (PA) Lions

RB Lorenzo Robinson 118 rush yds · 1 TD · 2 rec #103 RB

DL Dayone Fitch 5 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #269 DL

DL Brandon Robinson 11 tkl · 1.0 TFL #387 DL

DL Brosnan Dukes 8 tkl #388 DL

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

DB Tyrell Johnson 6 tkl · 1 INT #81 DB

LB Douglas Franklin 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #146 LB

TE Jaylen King 12 rec · 85 yds · 1 TD #53 TE

DB Jamari Stokes 11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #322 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Lincoln (PA) Lions	-29.0	-13.2	-15.8	#395
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils	-27.0	-13.7	-13.2	#391

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Lincoln (PA) offense vs Mississippi Valley State defense-0.0 pts

Mississippi Valley State offense vs Lincoln (PA) defense+2.1 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.