Final
MVSU 10 · NICH 44
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineNICH to win logged
ours 93%
Our number: NICH by 18.8 — NICH to win.
Projected score
15–41
MVSU – NICH
2026-08-27 · 7:00 PM
John L. Guidry Stadium · Thibodaux, LA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Nicholls lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
12 ranks apart
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #261 rush offense
Nicholls Colonels #249 run defense
Pass game
edge Nicholls Colonels
174 ranks
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #236 pass offense
Nicholls Colonels #62 pass defense
Run game
even
7 ranks apart
Nicholls Colonels #198 rush offense
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #205 run defense
Pass game
even
44 ranks apart
Nicholls Colonels #212 pass offense
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #256 pass defense
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Balanced · 45% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Nicholls Colonels
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
DB
Tyrell Johnson
6 tkl · 1 INT
#81 DB
LB
Douglas Franklin
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#146 LB
TE
Jaylen King
12 rec · 85 yds · 1 TD
#53 TE
DB
Jamari Stokes
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#322 DB
Nicholls Colonels
DB
Skylar Husband
20 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#71 DB
DL
Alex Villavaso
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#102 DL
LB
Kennon Loftin
24 tkl
#96 LB
WR
Jackson Dufrene
6 rec · 105 yds · 3 TD
#101 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Mississippi Valley State offense vs Nicholls defense-11.8 pts
Nicholls offense vs Mississippi Valley State defense+10.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.