Our side
MoneylineFUR to win
ours 8%
Projected score
35–12
FUR – VMI
2026-11-21 · 12:00 PM
Foster Stadium · Lexington, VA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Furman lead
13–11
· 24 meetings since 1946
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge VMI Keydets
50 ranks
Furman Paladins #214 rush offense
VMI Keydets #164 run defense
Pass game
edge Furman Paladins
92 ranks
Furman Paladins #165 pass offense
VMI Keydets #257 pass defense
Run game
edge Furman Paladins
91 ranks
VMI Keydets #256 rush offense
Furman Paladins #165 run defense
Pass game
even
32 ranks apart
VMI Keydets #188 pass offense
Furman Paladins #156 pass defense
Furman Paladins
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
VMI Keydets
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Furman Paladins
DB
Eli Lipscomb
12 tkl
#127 DB
DB
Caleb Easterling
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#144 DB
WR
Daniel Haughton
12 rec · 116 yds · 1 TD
#140 WR
DL
Joshua Stoneking
10 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#265 DL
VMI Keydets
DB
Nic Land
22 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#74 DB
DB
Robert Powell
13 tkl · 2 PD
#345 DB
DB
EJ Wilborne
12 tkl · 1 INT
#522 DB
DB
Anthony Allen
10 tkl
#876 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Furman offense vs VMI defense+2.0 pts
VMI offense vs Furman defense-19.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-3.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment-19.5
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).