← Matchups

Wofford

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -5.1 · #246
Our numberWOF -1.9 no book has priced this game

Chattanooga

· 1-2 · power -8.8 · #281
Our side
MoneylineWOF to win ours 46%
Projected score 23–21 WOF – UTC
2026-09-19 · 6:00 PM Finley Stadium · Chattanooga, TN Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Wofford lead 13–10 · 23 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Chattanooga Mocs 84 ranks
Wofford Terriers #230 rush offense Chattanooga Mocs #146 run defense
Pass game even 1 ranks apart
Wofford Terriers #214 pass offense Chattanooga Mocs #215 pass defense
Run game edge Wofford Terriers 120 ranks
Chattanooga Mocs #127 rush offense Wofford Terriers #7 run defense
Pass game edge Wofford Terriers 127 ranks
Chattanooga Mocs #223 pass offense Wofford Terriers #96 pass defense
Wofford Terriers Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Chattanooga Mocs Run-heavy · 60% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Wofford Terriers
LB Wyatt Ward 28 tkl · 2.5 TFL #16 LB
RB Gerald Modest Jr. 246 rush yds · 4 TD · 6 rec #26 RB
DB Cole Walker 14 tkl · 5 PD #75 DB
LB Javario Tinch 17 tkl · 1.5 TFL #86 LB
Chattanooga Mocs
DB Keyshawn Jackson 18 tkl · 5 PD #69 DB
RB Kevin Lalin 290 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec #51 RB
LB Zion Rutledge 24 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #115 LB
DB Kam Baah-Slay 12 tkl · 2 PD #230 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Wofford Terriers -5.1 -10.2 +5.0 #246
Chattanooga Mocs -8.8 -7.8 -1.0 #281

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Wofford offense vs Chattanooga defense-9.1 pts
Chattanooga offense vs Wofford defense-12.8 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.0 pts
Power projection before adjustment-0.9

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).