Our side
MoneylineSFA to win
ours 15%
Projected score
37–19
SFA – PV
2026-09-19 · 8:00 PM
Panther Stadium · Prairie View, TX
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Prairie View A&M lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2013
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
3 ranks apart
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks #39 rush offense
Prairie View A&M Panthers #42 run defense
Pass game
edge Prairie View A&M Panthers
46 ranks
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks #65 pass offense
Prairie View A&M Panthers #19 pass defense
Run game
edge Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
50 ranks
Prairie View A&M Panthers #58 rush offense
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks #8 run defense
Pass game
even
25 ranks apart
Prairie View A&M Panthers #53 pass offense
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks #28 pass defense
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Balanced · 49% run
Ball-control
Prairie View A&M Panthers
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 42 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
DB
Makai Frisby
8 tkl · 3 INT
#48 DB
K
Carlos Alvarado
6 FG · 12 XP · 30 pts
#9 K
DB
Jaiydyn Johnson
13 tkl · 3 PD
#66 DB
WR
Bugs Mortimer
8 rec · 161 yds · 2 TD
#84 WR
Prairie View A&M Panthers
DB
Kamrin Canterbury
27 tkl · 2 PD
#36 DB
DB
Malachi Williams
11 tkl · 1 INT
#102 DB
DB
Nahamani Harris
21 tkl · 2 PD
#123 DB
DL
Malik Gucake
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#154 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Stephen F. Austin offense vs Prairie View A&M defense+9.2 pts
Prairie View A&M offense vs Stephen F. Austin defense-8.6 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.8 pts
Power projection before adjustment-15.6
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).