Final
SFA 38 · MCN 27
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineSFA to win logged
ours 23%
Our number: SFA by 8.4 — SFA to win.
Projected score
34–20
SFA – MCN
2026-08-29 · 7:00 PM
Navarre Stadium · Lake Charles, LA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
McNeese lead
10–7
· 17 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
202 ranks
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks #39 rush offense
McNeese Cowboys #241 run defense
Pass game
even
12 ranks apart
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks #65 pass offense
McNeese Cowboys #77 pass defense
Run game
edge Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
74 ranks
McNeese Cowboys #82 rush offense
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks #8 run defense
Pass game
edge Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
178 ranks
McNeese Cowboys #206 pass offense
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks #28 pass defense
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Balanced · 49% run
Ball-control
McNeese Cowboys
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
DB
Makai Frisby
8 tkl · 3 INT
#48 DB
K
Carlos Alvarado
6 FG · 12 XP · 30 pts
#9 K
DB
Jaiydyn Johnson
13 tkl · 3 PD
#66 DB
WR
Bugs Mortimer
8 rec · 161 yds · 2 TD
#84 WR
McNeese Cowboys
DL
RJ Staten
11 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#53 DL
WR
Elisha Edwards
16 rec · 240 yds · 3 TD
#32 WR
RB
Omiri Wiggins
217 rush yds · 2 TD · 9 rec
#25 RB
WR
Curtis Deville
12 rec · 213 yds · 3 TD
#54 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Stephen F. Austin offense vs McNeese defense+5.7 pts
McNeese offense vs Stephen F. Austin defense-10.1 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.