Our side
MoneylineAAMU to win
ours 25%
Projected score
34–24
AAMU – MVSU
2026-11-21 · 3:00 PM
Rice-Totten Stadium · Itta Bena, MS
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Alabama A&M lead
15–2
· 17 meetings since 2007
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
14 ranks apart
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #219 rush offense
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #205 run defense
Pass game
edge Alabama A&M Bulldogs
80 ranks
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #176 pass offense
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #256 pass defense
Run game
edge Alabama A&M Bulldogs
131 ranks
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #261 rush offense
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #130 run defense
Pass game
even
25 ranks apart
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils #236 pass offense
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #261 pass defense
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Balanced · 45% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
DB
Jeremiah Hudson-Davis
35 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#10 DB
DL
Kylon Roberts
17 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#54 DL
WR
Jarel Williams
16 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
#47 WR
DL
Arenza Davis
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#113 DL
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
DB
Tyrell Johnson
6 tkl · 1 INT
#81 DB
LB
Douglas Franklin
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#146 LB
TE
Jaylen King
12 rec · 85 yds · 1 TD
#53 TE
DB
Jamari Stokes
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#322 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Alabama A&M offense vs Mississippi Valley State defense+7.6 pts
Mississippi Valley State offense vs Alabama A&M defense-3.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.1 pts
Power projection before adjustment-8.7
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).