← Matchups

Lawrence Tech

· 0-1 · power -15.1 · #346

Our numberLAWR -0.4 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Valparaiso

· 1-1 · power -18.3 · #367

Final LAWR 13 · VAL 59 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineLAWR to win logged ours 49%

Our number: LAWR by 14.4 — LAWR to win.

Projected score 30–30 LAWR – VAL

2026-08-29 · 2:00 PM Brown Field · Valparaiso, IN Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Valparaiso Beacons Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Lawrence Tech Blue Devils

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Valparaiso Beacons

LB Max Samuel 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #125 LB

DB O.C. Nurse 9 tkl · 1 PD #696 DB

WR Chris Gundy 5 rec · 107 yds #454 WR

DL Gabriel Batres 4 tkl · 1.0 TFL #900 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Lawrence Tech Blue Devils	-15.1	-5.3	-9.9	#346
Valparaiso Beacons	-18.3	-7.7	-10.6	#367

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Lawrence Tech offense vs Valparaiso defense+5.4 pts

Valparaiso offense vs Lawrence Tech defense+2.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.