← Matchups

South Dakota Mines

· 1-0 · power -3.0 · #216

Our numberSOUT -7.3 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Drake

· 0-3 · power -12.8 · #324

Final SOUT 38 · DRKE 35 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineDRKE to win logged live now: SOUT to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 34%

Our number: DRKE by 2.1 — DRKE to win.

Projected score 34–26 SOUT – DRKE

2026-08-27 · 7:30 PM Drake Stadium (IA) · Des Moines, IA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Drake Bulldogs Run-heavy · 69% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

South Dakota Mines Hardrockers

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Drake Bulldogs

LB J.R. Flood 35 tkl · 0.5 TFL #37 LB

DL Tyson Shivers 10 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #77 DL

WR Willis Nofsinger 18 rec · 285 yds · 1 TD #53 WR

WR Hank Foley 14 rec · 215 yds · 1 TD #120 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
South Dakota Mines Hardrockers	-3.0	+1.2	-4.2	#216
Drake Bulldogs	-12.8	-5.6	-7.2	#324

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

South Dakota Mines offense vs Drake defense+8.4 pts

Drake offense vs South Dakota Mines defense-1.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.