Our side
MoneylineETSU to win
ours 78%
Projected score
22–36
WGA – ETSU
2026-09-19 · 12:00 PM
William B. Greene Jr. Stadium · Johnson City, TN
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
West Georgia lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2025
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
17 ranks apart
West Georgia Wolves #85 rush offense
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #102 run defense
Pass game
even
19 ranks apart
West Georgia Wolves #207 pass offense
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #188 pass defense
Run game
edge West Georgia Wolves
69 ranks
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #72 rush offense
West Georgia Wolves #3 run defense
Pass game
edge West Georgia Wolves
68 ranks
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #175 pass offense
West Georgia Wolves #107 pass defense
West Georgia Wolves
Balanced · 58% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
Balanced · 55% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
West Georgia Wolves
DL
Dalton Epps
12 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#291 DL
LB
Chidu Bekee
19 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#164 LB
LB
Andrew Ruffin
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#174 LB
WR
T.J. Lockley
12 rec · 120 yds · 1 TD
#252 WR
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
LB
Dre Delinois
32 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#54 LB
RB
TJ Peyton
253 rush yds · 3 TD · 3 rec
#42 RB
TE
Charlie Browder
11 rec · 137 yds · 1 TD
#22 TE
DL
Charles Woodard
13 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#153 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
West Georgia offense vs East Tennessee State defense-3.5 pts
East Tennessee State offense vs West Georgia defense+6.3 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.2 pts
Power projection before adjustment+13.0
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).