← Matchups

Georgetown (KY)

· 0-1 · power -2.2 · #204

Our numberBUT -1.5 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Butler

· 2-1 · power -3.5 · #223

Final GEOR 23 · BUT 27 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineGEOR to win logged live now: BUT to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 53%

Our number: GEOR by 3.5 — GEOR to win.

Projected score 27–29 GEOR – BUT

2026-08-29 · 1:00 PM Bud and Jackie Sellick Bowl · Indianapolis, IN Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Butler Bulldogs Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 62 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Georgetown (KY) Tigers

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Butler Bulldogs

DL Okemdi Eze 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #316 DL

WR Nick Munson 5 rec · 73 yds · 2 TD #234 WR

DB Steven Stephany 8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #457 DB

RB Desmin Jackson 88 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec #209 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Georgetown (KY) Tigers	-2.2	-2.3	+0.1	#204
Butler Bulldogs	-3.5	-0.8	-2.7	#223

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Georgetown (KY) offense vs Butler defense+0.4 pts

Butler offense vs Georgetown (KY) defense-0.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.