Our side
MoneylineWIU to win
ours 46%
Projected score
31–30
WIU – LIN
2026-11-21 · 3:00 PM
Hunter Stadium · Saint Charles, MO
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Lindenwood lead
2–1
· 3 meetings since 2023
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
12 ranks apart
Western Illinois Leathernecks #182 rush offense
Lindenwood Lions #170 run defense
Pass game
edge Lindenwood Lions
68 ranks
Western Illinois Leathernecks #240 pass offense
Lindenwood Lions #172 pass defense
Run game
even
35 ranks apart
Lindenwood Lions #180 rush offense
Western Illinois Leathernecks #215 run defense
Pass game
edge Lindenwood Lions
142 ranks
Lindenwood Lions #60 pass offense
Western Illinois Leathernecks #202 pass defense
Western Illinois Leathernecks
Balanced · 46% run
Ball-control
Lindenwood Lions
Run-heavy · 58% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Western Illinois Leathernecks
LB
Nick Reinicke
18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#57 LB
DB
Aa'zoriyon Bonner
9 tkl · 1 PD
#170 DB
DB
Jouvenson Romulus
9 tkl · 1 INT
#376 DB
DB
Brayden Hapner
8 tkl · 2 PD
#458 DB
Lindenwood Lions
DL
Mason Burke
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#152 DL
DL
King Smith
8 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#182 DL
DB
Isaac Edwards
7 tkl · 1 INT
#378 DB
DL
David Amaliri
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#451 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Western Illinois offense vs Lindenwood defense+5.9 pts
Lindenwood offense vs Western Illinois defense+3.9 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment+0.7
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).