Final
TNST 3 · AAMU 30
ML L
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineTNST to win logged
live now: AAMU to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 63%
Our number: TNST by 7.0 — TNST to win.
Projected score
23–29
TNST – AAMU
2026-09-12 · 7:00 PM
Louis Crews Stadium · Huntsville, AL
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Alabama A&M lead
5–4
· 9 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Alabama A&M Bulldogs
135 ranks
Tennessee State Tigers #265 rush offense
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #130 run defense
Pass game
even
6 ranks apart
Tennessee State Tigers #255 pass offense
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #261 pass defense
Run game
edge Tennessee State Tigers
108 ranks
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #219 rush offense
Tennessee State Tigers #111 run defense
Pass game
edge Tennessee State Tigers
84 ranks
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #176 pass offense
Tennessee State Tigers #92 pass defense
Tennessee State Tigers
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Tennessee State Tigers
DB
Brendan Hale
21 tkl · 2 PD
#93 DB
DL
Bryce Gray
11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#244 DL
WR
Jayden Guy
15 rec · 202 yds
#212 WR
P
Truette Tumey
15 punts · 43.7 yd avg
#32 P
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
DB
Jeremiah Hudson-Davis
35 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#10 DB
DL
Kylon Roberts
17 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#54 DL
WR
Jarel Williams
16 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
#47 WR
DL
Arenza Davis
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#113 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Tennessee State offense vs Alabama A&M defense-5.8 pts
Alabama A&M offense vs Tennessee State defense-2.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.