← Matchups

Charleston Southern

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -11.7 · #316
Our numberCHSO -0.3 no book has priced this game

Eastern Illinois

· 1-2 · power -14.5 · #341
Our side
MoneylineCHSO to win ours 49%
Projected score 24–24 CHSO – EIU
2026-11-21 · 1:00 PM O'Brien Field · Charleston, IL Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Charleston Southern and Eastern Illinois split 2 (1–1) · 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Eastern Illinois Panthers 188 ranks
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #210 rush offense Eastern Illinois Panthers #22 run defense
Pass game edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers 97 ranks
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #157 pass offense Eastern Illinois Panthers #254 pass defense
Run game edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers 162 ranks
Eastern Illinois Panthers #233 rush offense Charleston Southern Buccaneers #71 run defense
Pass game even 43 ranks apart
Eastern Illinois Panthers #247 pass offense Charleston Southern Buccaneers #204 pass defense
Charleston Southern Buccaneers Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Eastern Illinois Panthers Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
LB Tristan Lennon 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #58 LB
LB Steve Zayachkowsky 22 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #80 LB
DL Josiah Wyatt 17 tkl · 1.5 TFL #212 DL
DL CJ Landrum 13 tkl · 0.5 TFL #521 DL
Eastern Illinois Panthers
RB Charles Kellom 297 rush yds · 4 TD · 9 rec #14 RB
LB Ja'Wuan Nickson 21 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL #36 LB
DL Isaac Engle 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #253 DL
DL Aidan Archibald 4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #340 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Charleston Southern Buccaneers -11.7 -14.6 +3.0 #316
Eastern Illinois Panthers -14.5 -5.9 -8.6 #341

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Charleston Southern offense vs Eastern Illinois defense-6.0 pts
Eastern Illinois offense vs Charleston Southern defense-8.9 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.1 pts
Power projection before adjustment-0.2
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 637 mi

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.