Our side
MoneylineGWEB to win
ours 36%
Projected score
26–20
GWEB – CHSO
2026-10-03 · 6:00 PM
Buccaneer Field · Charleston, SC
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Gardner-Webb lead
12–10
· 22 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers
64 ranks
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #135 rush offense
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #71 run defense
Pass game
edge Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
109 ranks
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #95 pass offense
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #204 pass defense
Run game
even
19 ranks apart
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #210 rush offense
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #191 run defense
Pass game
even
10 ranks apart
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #157 pass offense
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs #167 pass defense
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Balanced · 58% run
Avg pace
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
LB
Tre Yanez
31 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#11 LB
DB
Jamarion Ravenell
14 tkl · 2 PD
#30 DB
WR
Kory Jones
18 rec · 288 yds
#58 WR
DB
Sabin McLaughlin
13 tkl · 1 PD
#133 DB
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
LB
Tristan Lennon
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#58 LB
LB
Steve Zayachkowsky
22 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#80 LB
DL
Josiah Wyatt
17 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#212 DL
DL
CJ Landrum
13 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#521 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Gardner-Webb offense vs Charleston Southern defense-5.2 pts
Charleston Southern offense vs Gardner-Webb defense-12.8 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.8 pts
Power projection before adjustment-5.1
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.