← Matchups

Charleston Southern

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -11.7 · #316
Our numberCHSO -0.1 no book has priced this game

The Citadel

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -14.5 · #340
Final CHSO 26 · CIT 20 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineCIT to win logged live now: CHSO to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 50%

Our number: CIT by 3.7 — CIT to win.

Projected score 25–25 CHSO – CIT
2026-09-12 · 6:00 PM Johnson Hagood Stadium · Charleston, SC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series The Citadel lead 7–6 · 13 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge The Citadel Bulldogs 59 ranks
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #210 rush offense The Citadel Bulldogs #151 run defense
Pass game edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers 102 ranks
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #157 pass offense The Citadel Bulldogs #259 pass defense
Run game edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers 132 ranks
The Citadel Bulldogs #203 rush offense Charleston Southern Buccaneers #71 run defense
Pass game edge The Citadel Bulldogs 178 ranks
The Citadel Bulldogs #26 pass offense Charleston Southern Buccaneers #204 pass defense
Charleston Southern Buccaneers Balanced · 57% run Ball-control The Citadel Bulldogs Run-heavy · 81% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 57 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
LB Tristan Lennon 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #58 LB
LB Steve Zayachkowsky 22 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #80 LB
DL Josiah Wyatt 17 tkl · 1.5 TFL #212 DL
DL CJ Landrum 13 tkl · 0.5 TFL #521 DL
The Citadel Bulldogs
LB Zyion Brown 28 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #19 LB
RB Gavin Garcia 289 rush yds · 4 TD · 2 rec #21 RB
DB J'hari Mosley 18 tkl · 1 INT #150 DB
RB Sebastien Boyle 94 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec #137 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Charleston Southern Buccaneers -11.7 -14.6 +3.0 #316
The Citadel Bulldogs -14.5 -4.0 -10.5 #340

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Charleston Southern offense vs The Citadel defense-4.1 pts
The Citadel offense vs Charleston Southern defense-7.0 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.