← Matchups

Charleston Southern

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -11.7 · #316
Our numberLIN -2.5 no book has priced this game

Lindenwood

· 1-2 (1-0) · power -11.9 · #319
Final CHSO 17 · LIN 20 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineLIN to win logged ours 56%

Our number: LIN by 7.4 — LIN to win.

Projected score 23–25 CHSO – LIN
2026-08-27 · 7:00 PM Hunter Stadium · Saint Charles, MO Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Lindenwood lead 2–1 · 3 meetings since 2023
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 40 ranks apart
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #210 rush offense Lindenwood Lions #170 run defense
Pass game even 15 ranks apart
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #157 pass offense Lindenwood Lions #172 pass defense
Run game edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers 109 ranks
Lindenwood Lions #180 rush offense Charleston Southern Buccaneers #71 run defense
Pass game edge Lindenwood Lions 144 ranks
Lindenwood Lions #60 pass offense Charleston Southern Buccaneers #204 pass defense
Charleston Southern Buccaneers Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Lindenwood Lions Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
LB Tristan Lennon 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #58 LB
LB Steve Zayachkowsky 22 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #80 LB
DL Josiah Wyatt 17 tkl · 1.5 TFL #212 DL
DL CJ Landrum 13 tkl · 0.5 TFL #521 DL
Lindenwood Lions
DL Mason Burke 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #152 DL
DL King Smith 8 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #182 DL
DB Isaac Edwards 7 tkl · 1 INT #378 DB
DL David Amaliri 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #451 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Charleston Southern Buccaneers -11.7 -14.6 +3.0 #316
Lindenwood Lions -11.9 -4.9 -7.1 #319

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Charleston Southern offense vs Lindenwood defense-7.6 pts
Lindenwood offense vs Charleston Southern defense-7.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 709 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.