Final
WEB 42 · SUU 47
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineSUU to win logged
ours 65%
Our number: SUU by 14.3 — SUU to win.
Projected score
31–38
WEB – SUU
2026-09-05 · 8:00 PM
Eccles Coliseum · Cedar City, UT
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Weber State lead
8–6
· 14 meetings since 2004
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Weber State Wildcats
88 ranks
Weber State Wildcats #165 rush offense
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #253 run defense
Pass game
edge Southern Utah Thunderbirds
126 ranks
Weber State Wildcats #249 pass offense
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #123 pass defense
Run game
edge Southern Utah Thunderbirds
210 ranks
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #37 rush offense
Weber State Wildcats #247 run defense
Pass game
edge Southern Utah Thunderbirds
70 ranks
Southern Utah Thunderbirds #67 pass offense
Weber State Wildcats #137 pass defense
Weber State Wildcats
Balanced · 58% run
Ball-control
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Run-heavy · 59% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Weber State Wildcats
WR
Noah Kjar
22 rec · 385 yds · 6 TD
#2 WR
LB
Teni Worthen
25 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#52 LB
LB
Zach Smith
10 tkl
#59 LB
P
Henry Way
13 punts · 45.4 yd avg
#13 P
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
DB
Parker Vance
18 tkl · 4 PD · 3 INT
#4 DB
TE
Joshua Acord
11 rec · 128 yds · 3 TD
#3 TE
RB
Floyd Chalk
427 rush yds · 6 TD · 4 rec
#6 RB
DL
Myles Amey
9 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#103 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Weber State offense vs Southern Utah defense+10.0 pts
Southern Utah offense vs Weber State defense+13.9 pts
Altitude · context only312 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.