← Matchups

North Alabama

· 1-2 · power -7.9 · #274
Our numberSELA -1.5 no book has priced this game

SE Louisiana

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -9.2 · #287
Final UNA 25 · SELA 30 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineUNA to win logged live now: SELA to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 53%

Our number: UNA by 0.4 — UNA to win.

Projected score 27–28 UNA – SELA
2026-09-12 · 7:00 PM Strawberry Stadium · Hammond, LA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series SE Louisiana lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2021
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge SE Louisiana Lions 48 ranks
North Alabama Lions #125 rush offense SE Louisiana Lions #77 run defense
Pass game edge SE Louisiana Lions 202 ranks
North Alabama Lions #210 pass offense SE Louisiana Lions #8 pass defense
Run game edge SE Louisiana Lions 151 ranks
SE Louisiana Lions #44 rush offense North Alabama Lions #195 run defense
Pass game edge SE Louisiana Lions 162 ranks
SE Louisiana Lions #98 pass offense North Alabama Lions #260 pass defense
North Alabama Lions Run-heavy · 63% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 52 rush ypg SE Louisiana Lions Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
North Alabama Lions
DB Tae Martin 23 tkl · 4 PD #11 DB
DL Avery Howard 17 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL #20 DL
WR Xavier Johnson 19 rec · 386 yds · 2 TD #14 WR
DL Cayden Adkins 11 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #29 DL
SE Louisiana Lions
TE Lonnie Shinn 6 rec · 73 yds · 2 TD #24 TE
DL Amiree Alexander 14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #165 DL
LB Trace Carter 23 tkl #104 LB
DB Carter Byrd 20 tkl · 1 PD #214 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
North Alabama Lions -7.9 -4.2 -3.7 #274
SE Louisiana Lions -9.2 -5.2 -4.0 #287

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
North Alabama offense vs SE Louisiana defense-0.2 pts
SE Louisiana offense vs North Alabama defense-1.6 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.