Final
SAM 10 · UNA 22
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineUNA to win logged
ours 71%
Our number: UNA by 10.2 — UNA to win.
Projected score
21–30
SAM – UNA
2026-08-29 · 7:00 PM
Joe Davis Stadium · Huntsville, AL · neutral
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge North Alabama Lions
68 ranks
Samford Bulldogs #263 rush offense
North Alabama Lions #195 run defense
Pass game
even
18 ranks apart
Samford Bulldogs #242 pass offense
North Alabama Lions #260 pass defense
Run game
edge North Alabama Lions
93 ranks
North Alabama Lions #125 rush offense
Samford Bulldogs #218 run defense
Pass game
even
18 ranks apart
North Alabama Lions #210 pass offense
Samford Bulldogs #192 pass defense
Samford Bulldogs
Pass-heavy · 39% run
Ball-control
North Alabama Lions
Run-heavy · 63% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 52 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Samford Bulldogs
DB
LaShon Young
21 tkl · 1 PD
#53 DB
DB
Jalen Nelson
25 tkl
#101 DB
WR
Marquise Henderson
9 rec · 218 yds · 1 TD
#92 WR
LB
Spencer Conn
23 tkl · 2.5 TFL
#90 LB
North Alabama Lions
DB
Tae Martin
23 tkl · 4 PD
#11 DB
DL
Avery Howard
17 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#20 DL
WR
Xavier Johnson
19 rec · 386 yds · 2 TD
#14 WR
DL
Cayden Adkins
11 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#29 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Samford offense vs North Alabama defense-7.9 pts
North Alabama offense vs Samford defense+1.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.