Final
CARK 36 · UTM 24
ML L
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineUTM to win logged
live now: CARK to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 48%
Our number: UTM by 4.1 — UTM to win.
Projected score
29–28
CARK – UTM
2026-08-27 · 7:30 PM
Hardy M. Graham Stadium · Martin, TN
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Central Arkansas lead
2–1
· 3 meetings since 2007
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge UT Martin Skyhawks
58 ranks
Central Arkansas Bears #143 rush offense
UT Martin Skyhawks #85 run defense
Pass game
edge Central Arkansas Bears
63 ranks
Central Arkansas Bears #185 pass offense
UT Martin Skyhawks #248 pass defense
Run game
even
31 ranks apart
UT Martin Skyhawks #199 rush offense
Central Arkansas Bears #168 run defense
Pass game
edge UT Martin Skyhawks
130 ranks
UT Martin Skyhawks #108 pass offense
Central Arkansas Bears #238 pass defense
Central Arkansas Bears
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
UT Martin Skyhawks
Run-heavy · 63% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Central Arkansas Bears
DB
Bryson Adamoh
5 tkl · 3 PD · 3 INT
#6 DB
LB
Ashtyn Williams
28 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#70 LB
DL
Jakobe Shell
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#129 DL
DL
Trevion Traylor
14 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#138 DL
UT Martin Skyhawks
P
Max Zuluaga
8 punts · 51.4 yd avg
#1 P
DB
Trey Cotton
23 tkl · 1 INT
#12 DB
DL
Chris Wilson
14 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#78 DL
DB
Jamal Mayers
12 tkl · 3 PD
#73 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Central Arkansas offense vs UT Martin defense+3.3 pts
UT Martin offense vs Central Arkansas defense-0.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.