← Matchups

Yale

· power +4.7 · #126

Our numberYALE -19.5 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Holy Cross

· 0-3 (0-2) · power -16.9 · #358

Our side

MoneylineYALE to win ours 14%

Projected score 36–16 YALE – HC

2026-09-19 · 2:00 PM Fitton Field · Worcester, MA Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Yale lead 21–7 · 28 meetings since 1903

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game even ~~7 ranks apart~~

Yale Bulldogs #134 rush offense Holy Cross Crusaders #127 run defense

Pass game even ~~19 ranks apart~~

Yale Bulldogs #64 pass offense Holy Cross Crusaders #45 pass defense

Run game edge Yale Bulldogs ~~187 ranks~~

Holy Cross Crusaders #231 rush offense Yale Bulldogs #44 run defense

Pass game edge Yale Bulldogs ~~139 ranks~~

Holy Cross Crusaders #243 pass offense Yale Bulldogs #104 pass defense

Yale Bulldogs Run-heavy · 63% run Avg pace Holy Cross Crusaders Run-heavy · 65% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Yale Bulldogs

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Holy Cross Crusaders

LB Adam Due 27 tkl · 1.5 TFL #100 LB

DB Garrett Baldwin 12 tkl · 3 PD #180 DB

TE Drae Tyme 4 rec · 81 yds · 1 TD #48 TE

WR Myles Abernathy 10 rec · 138 yds #238 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Yale Bulldogs	+4.7	+1.8	+2.9	#126
Holy Cross Crusaders	-16.9	-12.0	-4.9	#358

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Yale offense vs Holy Cross defense+6.7 pts

Holy Cross offense vs Yale defense-14.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.