← Matchups

Pennsylvania

· power -6.7 · #260

Our numberPENN -6.5 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Bucknell

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -15.8 · #352

Our side

MoneylinePENN to win ours 36%

Projected score 30–24 PENN – BUCK

2026-09-19 · 3:00 PM Christy Mathewson-Memorial Stadium · Lewisburg, PA Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Pennsylvania lead 26–2 · 28 meetings since 1895

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game even ~~3 ranks apart~~

Pennsylvania Quakers #147 rush offense Bucknell Bison #150 run defense

Pass game edge Pennsylvania Quakers ~~133 ranks~~

Pennsylvania Quakers #84 pass offense Bucknell Bison #217 pass defense

Run game even ~~22 ranks apart~~

Bucknell Bison #168 rush offense Pennsylvania Quakers #190 run defense

Pass game edge Bucknell Bison ~~87 ranks~~

Bucknell Bison #86 pass offense Pennsylvania Quakers #173 pass defense

Pennsylvania Quakers Balanced · 49% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 55 rush ypg Bucknell Bison Balanced · 57% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Pennsylvania Quakers

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Bucknell Bison

WR Sam Milligan 24 rec · 241 yds · 3 TD #17 WR

DL Jack Inserra 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #194 DL

RB Michael Cadden 131 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec #86 RB

LB Nick Hoying 13 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #298 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Pennsylvania Quakers	-6.7	-1.4	-5.3	#260
Bucknell Bison	-15.8	-11.4	-4.3	#352

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Pennsylvania offense vs Bucknell defense+2.9 pts

Bucknell offense vs Pennsylvania defense-6.1 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.