← Matchups

Bucknell

· 1-2 (0-1) · power -15.8 · #352
Our numberRICH -13.2 no book has priced this game

Richmond

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -5.8 · #253
Final BUCK 14 · RICH 35 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineRICH to win logged ours 77%

Our number: RICH by 11.8 — RICH to win.

Projected score 20–33 BUCK – RICH
2026-08-29 · 6:00 PM Robins Stadium · Richmond, VA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Richmond lead 2–1 · 3 meetings since 2006
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 20 ranks apart
Bucknell Bison #168 rush offense Richmond Spiders #188 run defense
Pass game edge Richmond Spiders 70 ranks
Bucknell Bison #86 pass offense Richmond Spiders #16 pass defense
Run game even 33 ranks apart
Richmond Spiders #183 rush offense Bucknell Bison #150 run defense
Pass game edge Richmond Spiders 76 ranks
Richmond Spiders #141 pass offense Bucknell Bison #217 pass defense
Bucknell Bison Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Richmond Spiders Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Bucknell Bison
WR Sam Milligan 24 rec · 241 yds · 3 TD #17 WR
DL Jack Inserra 15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #194 DL
RB Michael Cadden 131 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec #86 RB
LB Nick Hoying 13 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #298 LB
Richmond Spiders
DL Camden Byrd 7 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #32 DL
LB Blake Houser 26 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #44 LB
DL Daniel Sellers 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #88 DL
RB Aziz Foster-Powell 141 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec #68 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Bucknell Bison -15.8 -11.4 -4.3 #352
Richmond Spiders -5.8 -3.0 -2.8 #253

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Bucknell offense vs Richmond defense-8.7 pts
Richmond offense vs Bucknell defense+1.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.