Our side
MoneylineCCSU to win
ours 76%
Projected score
24–35
WAG – CCSU
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Arute Field · New Britain, CT
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Central Connecticut lead
16–6
· 22 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
29 ranks apart
Wagner Seahawks #237 rush offense
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #208 run defense
Pass game
edge Central Connecticut Blue Devils
199 ranks
Wagner Seahawks #264 pass offense
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #65 pass defense
Run game
edge Wagner Seahawks
163 ranks
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #227 rush offense
Wagner Seahawks #64 run defense
Pass game
edge Central Connecticut Blue Devils
58 ranks
Central Connecticut Blue Devils #107 pass offense
Wagner Seahawks #165 pass defense
Wagner Seahawks
Run-heavy · 71% run
Avg pace
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Wagner Seahawks
DB
Julio Tatis
7 tkl · 1 INT
#163 DB
DL
Jordan Gaston
8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#435 DL
WR
Zion Fowler-El
16 rec · 143 yds
#291 WR
DB
Shamar Williams
10 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#503 DB
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
DB
Mel Jacobs
2 tkl · 1 INT
#174 DB
DB
Eric Jackson
10 tkl · 1 PD
#426 DB
DB
Deonte Douglas
13 tkl
#490 DB
WR
Michael Trovarelli
5 rec · 45 yds · 1 TD
#379 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Wagner offense vs Central Connecticut defense-1.5 pts
Central Connecticut offense vs Wagner defense+6.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.