Final
MERC 10 · YSU 43
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineYSU to win logged
ours 90%
Our number: YSU by 16.1 — YSU to win.
Projected score
20–43
MERC – YSU
2026-08-27 · 6:00 PM
Stambaugh Stadium · Youngstown, OH
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Youngstown State lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2025
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
31 ranks apart
Mercyhurst Lakers #220 rush offense
Youngstown State Penguins #189 run defense
Pass game
even
29 ranks apart
Mercyhurst Lakers #190 pass offense
Youngstown State Penguins #219 pass defense
Run game
edge Youngstown State Penguins
182 ranks
Youngstown State Penguins #30 rush offense
Mercyhurst Lakers #212 run defense
Pass game
edge Youngstown State Penguins
109 ranks
Youngstown State Penguins #34 pass offense
Mercyhurst Lakers #143 pass defense
Mercyhurst Lakers
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
Youngstown State Penguins
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 113 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Mercyhurst Lakers
DL
Zacchaeus Dixon
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#135 DL
DB
Braylon Beckwith
21 tkl
#182 DB
TE
Camden Lewis
10 rec · 83 yds · 1 TD
#44 TE
P
Thomas O'Neill
19 punts · 43.3 yd avg
#24 P
Youngstown State Penguins
WR
Lynn Wyche-El
18 rec · 229 yds · 4 TD
#16 WR
QB
Beau Brungard
765 pass yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
#10 QB
P
Evan Anderson
5 punts · 47.0 yd avg
#6 P
RB
Jaden Gilbert
129 rush yds · 2 TD · 8 rec
#44 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Mercyhurst offense vs Youngstown State defense-3.1 pts
Youngstown State offense vs Mercyhurst defense+16.1 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.