Final
SDAK 38 · UNCO 23
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineSDAK to win logged
ours 17%
Our number: SDAK by 18.0 — SDAK to win.
Projected score
37–20
SDAK – UNCO
2026-09-05 · 8:00 PM
Nottingham Field · Greeley, CO
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
South Dakota lead
4–1
· 5 meetings since 2009
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge South Dakota Coyotes
134 ranks
South Dakota Coyotes #60 rush offense
Northern Colorado Bears #194 run defense
Pass game
edge South Dakota Coyotes
75 ranks
South Dakota Coyotes #27 pass offense
Northern Colorado Bears #102 pass defense
Run game
edge South Dakota Coyotes
73 ranks
Northern Colorado Bears #216 rush offense
South Dakota Coyotes #143 run defense
Pass game
even
38 ranks apart
Northern Colorado Bears #196 pass offense
South Dakota Coyotes #234 pass defense
South Dakota Coyotes
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Northern Colorado Bears
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
South Dakota Coyotes
P
Brook Honore Jr.
9 punts · 47.1 yd avg
#5 P
RB
Charles Pierre Jr.
261 rush yds · 4 TD · 2 rec
#27 RB
WR
Brayden White
13 rec · 164 yds · 4 TD
#61 WR
K
Bohdie Ing
4 FG · 18 XP · 30 pts
#15 K
Northern Colorado Bears
DB
Franky Morales
18 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#91 DB
DL
Dominic Butts
10 tkl · 4.0 TFL
#122 DL
DL
Blake Weslin
8 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#192 DL
DL
Ezra Ekuban
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#226 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
South Dakota offense vs Northern Colorado defense+10.1 pts
Northern Colorado offense vs South Dakota defense-9.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 434 mi
Altitude · context only1,087 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.