Final
UND 47 · PRST 23
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineUND to win logged
ours 9%
Our number: UND by 21.4 — UND to win.
Projected score
44–20
UND – PRST
2026-09-12 · 10:00 PM
Hillsboro Stadium · Portland, OR
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
North Dakota lead
5–1
· 6 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge North Dakota Fighting Hawks
142 ranks
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #120 rush offense
Portland State Vikings #262 run defense
Pass game
edge North Dakota Fighting Hawks
177 ranks
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #73 pass offense
Portland State Vikings #250 pass defense
Run game
edge North Dakota Fighting Hawks
232 ranks
Portland State Vikings #258 rush offense
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #26 run defense
Pass game
edge North Dakota Fighting Hawks
172 ranks
Portland State Vikings #224 pass offense
North Dakota Fighting Hawks #52 pass defense
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Run-heavy · 60% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 43 rush ypg
Portland State Vikings
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
P
Luke Silvernale
5 punts · 49.8 yd avg
#2 P
WR
Korey Tai
12 rec · 274 yds · 4 TD
#30 WR
DB
Jonnie Wiltshire
9 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#89 DB
DL
Brody Thornton
8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#114 DL
Portland State Vikings
DB
Lono Solomon
19 tkl · 2 PD
#23 DB
DB
Isaac Redford
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#24 DB
TE
Tanner Beaman
16 rec · 157 yds · 1 TD
#7 TE
WR
Terence Loville
15 rec · 221 yds · 1 TD
#70 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
North Dakota offense vs Portland State defense+20.9 pts
Portland State offense vs North Dakota defense-4.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,228 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.