Final
EIU 28 · MUR 14
ML L
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineMUR to win logged
live now: EIU to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 41%
Our number: MUR by 3.1 — MUR to win.
Projected score
30–26
EIU – MUR
2026-08-27 · 7:00 PM
Roy Stewart Stadium · Murray, KY
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Eastern Illinois lead
10–8
· 18 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
27 ranks apart
Eastern Illinois Panthers #233 rush offense
Murray State Racers #260 run defense
Pass game
even
16 ranks apart
Eastern Illinois Panthers #247 pass offense
Murray State Racers #263 pass defense
Run game
edge Eastern Illinois Panthers
145 ranks
Murray State Racers #167 rush offense
Eastern Illinois Panthers #22 run defense
Pass game
even
26 ranks apart
Murray State Racers #228 pass offense
Eastern Illinois Panthers #254 pass defense
Eastern Illinois Panthers
Run-heavy · 58% run
Ball-control
Murray State Racers
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Eastern Illinois Panthers
RB
Charles Kellom
297 rush yds · 4 TD · 9 rec
#14 RB
LB
Ja'Wuan Nickson
21 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#36 LB
DL
Isaac Engle
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#253 DL
DL
Aidan Archibald
4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#340 DL
Murray State Racers
DL
Jayden Walker
18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#67 DL
LB
Klayton Ingram
22 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#132 LB
RB
Tyrell Campbell
213 rush yds · 1 TD · 7 rec
#108 RB
DB
Dylan Rowsey
18 tkl · 1 PD
#377 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Eastern Illinois offense vs Murray State defense+2.4 pts
Murray State offense vs Eastern Illinois defense-4.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.