Our side
MoneylineINST to win
ours 75%
Projected score
24–36
VAL – INST
2026-09-19 · 1:00 PM
Memorial Stadium (Terre Haute, IN) · Terre Haute, IN
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
6 ranks apart
Valparaiso Beacons #252 rush offense
Indiana State Sycamores #258 run defense
Pass game
edge Valparaiso Beacons
52 ranks
Valparaiso Beacons #197 pass offense
Indiana State Sycamores #249 pass defense
Run game
even
34 ranks apart
Indiana State Sycamores #221 rush offense
Valparaiso Beacons #187 run defense
Pass game
edge Indiana State Sycamores
63 ranks
Indiana State Sycamores #166 pass offense
Valparaiso Beacons #229 pass defense
Valparaiso Beacons
Run-heavy · 58% run
Ball-control
Indiana State Sycamores
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Valparaiso Beacons
LB
Max Samuel
9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#125 LB
DB
O.C. Nurse
9 tkl · 1 PD
#696 DB
WR
Chris Gundy
5 rec · 107 yds
#454 WR
DL
Gabriel Batres
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#900 DL
Indiana State Sycamores
DL
Kaleb Harris
12 tkl · 3.5 TFL
#65 DL
DB
Nic Yatsko
25 tkl · 2 PD
#83 DB
WR
BJ Wuest
11 rec · 226 yds · 1 TD
#156 WR
WR
Keshon Singleton
12 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD
#167 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Valparaiso offense vs Indiana State defense-0.8 pts
Indiana State offense vs Valparaiso defense+8.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.