← Matchups

Indiana State

· 1-2 · power -9.4 · #288
Our numberINST -2.5 no book has priced this game

Eastern Illinois

· 1-2 · power -14.5 · #341
Final INST 42 · EIU 35 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineEIU to win logged live now: INST to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 44%

Our number: EIU by 2.7 — EIU to win.

Projected score 31–29 INST – EIU
2026-09-12 · 7:00 PM O'Brien Field · Charleston, IL Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Indiana State lead 11–10 · 21 meetings since 1980
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Eastern Illinois Panthers 199 ranks
Indiana State Sycamores #221 rush offense Eastern Illinois Panthers #22 run defense
Pass game edge Indiana State Sycamores 88 ranks
Indiana State Sycamores #166 pass offense Eastern Illinois Panthers #254 pass defense
Run game even 25 ranks apart
Eastern Illinois Panthers #233 rush offense Indiana State Sycamores #258 run defense
Pass game even 2 ranks apart
Eastern Illinois Panthers #247 pass offense Indiana State Sycamores #249 pass defense
Indiana State Sycamores Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Eastern Illinois Panthers Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Indiana State Sycamores
DL Kaleb Harris 12 tkl · 3.5 TFL #65 DL
DB Nic Yatsko 25 tkl · 2 PD #83 DB
WR BJ Wuest 11 rec · 226 yds · 1 TD #156 WR
WR Keshon Singleton 12 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD #167 WR
Eastern Illinois Panthers
RB Charles Kellom 297 rush yds · 4 TD · 9 rec #14 RB
LB Ja'Wuan Nickson 21 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL #36 LB
DL Isaac Engle 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #253 DL
DL Aidan Archibald 4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #340 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Indiana State Sycamores -9.4 -2.5 -6.9 #288
Eastern Illinois Panthers -14.5 -5.9 -8.6 #341

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Indiana State offense vs Eastern Illinois defense+6.2 pts
Eastern Illinois offense vs Indiana State defense+1.0 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.