← Matchups

Lafayette

· 1-1 · power -12.9 · #327
Our numberCOLU -0.3 no book has priced this game

Columbia

· power -15.4 · #349
Our side
MoneylineCOLU to win ours 51%
Projected score 26–26 LAF – COLU
2026-09-19 · 12:00 PM Lawrence A. Wien Stadium · New York, NY Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Lafayette lead 16–10–1 · 27 meetings since 1889
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Lafayette Leopards 87 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #94 rush offense Columbia Lions #181 run defense
Pass game edge Lafayette Leopards 90 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #133 pass offense Columbia Lions #223 pass defense
Run game even 17 ranks apart
Columbia Lions #193 rush offense Lafayette Leopards #176 run defense
Pass game edge Lafayette Leopards 99 ranks
Columbia Lions #216 pass offense Lafayette Leopards #117 pass defense
Lafayette Leopards Balanced · 56% run Avg pace Columbia Lions Balanced · 54% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Lafayette Leopards
LB Beckham Dee 16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #75 LB
DB Dhonte Jackson 19 tkl · 1 PD #139 DB
LB Callahan Blair 9 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #283 LB
DB Darrick LeBeouf 10 tkl · 1 INT #516 DB
Columbia Lions
No graded players for this team in 2025.

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Lafayette Leopards -12.9 -5.0 -7.9 #327
Columbia Lions -15.4 -13.8 -1.6 #349

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Lafayette offense vs Columbia defense-3.4 pts
Columbia offense vs Lafayette defense-5.9 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.