← Matchups

Brown

· power -10.4 · #302
Our numberDART -9.7 no book has priced this game

Dartmouth

· power -3.8 · #228
Our side
MoneylineDART to win ours 73%
Projected score 23–33 BRWN – DART
2026-11-21 · 1:00 PM Memorial Field (Dartmouth) · Hanover, NH Conference game Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Dartmouth lead 54–24–3 · 81 meetings since 1894
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Dartmouth Big Green 153 ranks
Brown Bears #196 rush offense Dartmouth Big Green #43 run defense
Pass game even 5 ranks apart
Brown Bears #147 pass offense Dartmouth Big Green #142 pass defense
Run game edge Dartmouth Big Green 119 ranks
Dartmouth Big Green #84 rush offense Brown Bears #203 run defense
Pass game edge Dartmouth Big Green 53 ranks
Dartmouth Big Green #57 pass offense Brown Bears #110 pass defense
Brown Bears Balanced · 45% run Avg pace Dartmouth Big Green Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Brown Bears -10.4 -3.2 -7.3 #302
Dartmouth Big Green -3.8 -3.6 -0.2 #228

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Brown offense vs Dartmouth defense-3.0 pts
Dartmouth offense vs Brown defense+3.7 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.