← Matchups

Chicago State

· 1-2 · power -12.5 · #323

Our numberBUT -12.1 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Butler

· 2-1 · power -3.5 · #223

Our side

MoneylineBUT to win ours 75%

Projected score 24–36 CHIC – BUT

2026-09-19 · 1:00 PM Bud and Jackie Sellick Bowl · Indianapolis, IN Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Butler Bulldogs Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 62 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Chicago State Cougars

DL Jayden Earley 12 tkl · 1.5 TFL #6 DL

DL Lesroy Tittle 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #7 DL

DL Tehron Spencer 14 tkl · 2.0 TFL #38 DL

DL Armani Itote 11 tkl · 2.0 TFL #108 DL

Butler Bulldogs

DL Okemdi Eze 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #316 DL

WR Nick Munson 5 rec · 73 yds · 2 TD #234 WR

DB Steven Stephany 8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #457 DB

RB Desmin Jackson 88 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec #209 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Chicago State Cougars	-12.5	-4.2	-8.3	#323
Butler Bulldogs	-3.5	-0.8	-2.7	#223

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Chicago State offense vs Butler defense-1.5 pts

Butler offense vs Chicago State defense+7.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.