BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

North Carolina A&T

· 0-3 · power -23.7 · #387
Our numberGAST -35.0 no book has priced this game

Georgia State

SBC · 2-0 · power +2.0 · #152
Final NCAT 10 · GAST 59 ML W Spread L Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineGAST to win logged ours 97%

Our number: GAST by 20.0 — GAST to win.

Projected score 11–46 NCAT – GAST
2026-09-04 · 7:00 PM Center Parc Stadium · Atlanta, GA Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book NCAT spreadGAST spread OverUnder NCAT winGAST win NCAT TT overNCAT TT under GAST TT overGAST TT under
DraftKings — — — —
FanDuel — — — —
BetMGM — — — —
ESPN Bet — — — —
Caesars — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread NCAT 93% bets · 87% money total Under 84% bets · 92% money ML GAST 92% bets · 70% money
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 20 ranks apart
North Carolina A&T Aggies #217 rush offense Georgia State Panthers #237 run defense
Pass game edge North Carolina A&T Aggies 70 ranks
North Carolina A&T Aggies #169 pass offense Georgia State Panthers #239 pass defense
Run game edge Georgia State Panthers 81 ranks
Georgia State Panthers #158 rush offense North Carolina A&T Aggies #239 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia State Panthers 113 ranks
Georgia State Panthers #138 pass offense North Carolina A&T Aggies #251 pass defense
North Carolina A&T Aggies Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Georgia State Panthers Balanced · 50% run Avg pace
Dell McGee · 4-20 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
North Carolina A&T Aggies
TE Anthony Rucker 7 rec · 115 yds · 2 TD #29 TE
DB Mykell Harvey 16 tkl · 2 PD #183 DB
WR Elijah Kennedy 13 rec · 152 yds · 2 TD #148 WR
DL Eddie Conover 8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL #336 DL
Georgia State Panthers
QB Cameran Brown 443 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT #48 QB
RB Dennis Murray Jr. 75 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #101 RB
LB Xavier Esqillion 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #156 LB
DL Jabriel Rhodes-Nelson 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #281 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
North Carolina A&T Aggies -23.7 -12.0 -11.7 #387
Georgia State PanthersSBC +2.0 +2.8 -0.7 #152

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
North Carolina A&T offense vs Georgia State defense-11.2 pts
Georgia State offense vs North Carolina A&T defense+14.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.