Final
CAM 49 · ETSU 37
ML L
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineETSU to win logged
ours 56%
Our number: ETSU by 14.6 — ETSU to win.
Projected score
30–33
CAM – ETSU
2026-08-29 · 5:30 PM
William B. Greene Jr. Stadium · Johnson City, TN
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge East Tennessee State Buccaneers
95 ranks
Campbell Fighting Camels #197 rush offense
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #102 run defense
Pass game
even
15 ranks apart
Campbell Fighting Camels #173 pass offense
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #188 pass defense
Run game
edge East Tennessee State Buccaneers
153 ranks
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #72 rush offense
Campbell Fighting Camels #225 run defense
Pass game
edge East Tennessee State Buccaneers
47 ranks
East Tennessee State Buccaneers #175 pass offense
Campbell Fighting Camels #222 pass defense
Campbell Fighting Camels
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
Balanced · 55% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Campbell Fighting Camels
DL
Justin Garza
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#124 DL
DL
Ebenezer Bedada
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#197 DL
WR
Spencer Jones
15 rec · 203 yds · 1 TD
#136 WR
LB
AJ Benton
16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#135 LB
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
LB
Dre Delinois
32 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#54 LB
RB
TJ Peyton
253 rush yds · 3 TD · 3 rec
#42 RB
TE
Charlie Browder
11 rec · 137 yds · 1 TD
#22 TE
DL
Charles Woodard
13 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#153 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Campbell offense vs East Tennessee State defense+6.1 pts
East Tennessee State offense vs Campbell defense+6.1 pts
Altitude · context only455 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.