Final
MORG 17 · NCAT 7
ML W
our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineMORG to win logged
ours 36%
Our number: MORG by 2.4 — MORG to win.
Projected score
30–23
MORG – NCAT
2026-08-29 · 6:00 PM
Truist Stadium · Greensboro, NC
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Morgan State lead
10–5
· 15 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Morgan State Bears
75 ranks
Morgan State Bears #164 rush offense
North Carolina A&T Aggies #239 run defense
Pass game
even
25 ranks apart
Morgan State Bears #226 pass offense
North Carolina A&T Aggies #251 pass defense
Run game
edge Morgan State Bears
104 ranks
North Carolina A&T Aggies #217 rush offense
Morgan State Bears #113 run defense
Pass game
even
39 ranks apart
North Carolina A&T Aggies #169 pass offense
Morgan State Bears #130 pass defense
Morgan State Bears
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 46 rush ypg
North Carolina A&T Aggies
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Morgan State Bears
DL
Donovan Moyer
11 tkl · 4.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#70 DL
DB
Josiah Blake
11 tkl · 1 PD
#145 DB
WR
Justin Perry
13 rec · 188 yds · 2 TD
#231 WR
RB
Jordan Barnett
173 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#165 RB
North Carolina A&T Aggies
TE
Anthony Rucker
7 rec · 115 yds · 2 TD
#29 TE
DB
Mykell Harvey
16 tkl · 2 PD
#183 DB
WR
Elijah Kennedy
13 rec · 152 yds · 2 TD
#148 WR
DL
Eddie Conover
8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#336 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Morgan State offense vs North Carolina A&T defense+1.4 pts
North Carolina A&T offense vs Morgan State defense-7.4 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.